Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
06 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (07 Nov 09:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.5 m 167 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

198 km/h

Up to 1.1 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia1,055,074 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 06 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 06 Nov 2019 06:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 06 Nov 2019 12:00 108 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia11,533 
250-500 mmIndia1,317,017 
100-250 mmIndia12,513,040 
50-100 mmIndia12,564,602 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 340 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 401 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 392 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 375 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 415 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 06 Nov 2019 00:00 330 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 06 Nov 2019 06:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 06 Nov 2019 12:00 725 13.8 million
- - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 09:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Nov 2019 09:15 Kambhat India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 09:15 Kavi India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 09:15 Sarod India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 09:00 Wadgam India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 12:15 Ghogha India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 12:00 Dahej India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 12:00 Harinagar India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 15:00 Kotada India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 06:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Mahuva India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:15 Jafarabad India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 14:45 Damka India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:45 Delvada India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:45 Nawabandar India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:45 Rohisa India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 04:15 Kotra Nes India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 04:15 Dangarvadi India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 09:00 Bordi India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 09:00 Umbargam India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 06:15 Lodhwa India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 06:15 Kodinar India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 08:45 Maroli India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 08:45 Daman India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 08:45 Udvada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 14:15 Dwarka India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 14:15 Gadechi India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 09:00 Gholvad India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:00 Tarapur India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:00 Malyan India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:00 Boisar India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:15 Shirgaon India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:15 Palghar India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:15 Mahim India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Veraval India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Somnath India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
07 Nov 2019 03:00 Chorwad India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Nalasopara India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Agashi India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Dongri India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Vasai India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 14:30 Madhi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 20:45 Suthri India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:30 Bhogat India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:30 Lamba India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:30 Miyani India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Shil India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Mangrol India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 15:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
07 Nov 2019 05:30 Malad India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Mumbai India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Asumumbay India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Hasik Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:45 Brar Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:15 Malan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Okha India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:15 Lakabi Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:15 Qaysad Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:15 Lakba Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:30 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Quilandi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Cannanore India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Edakkad India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:15 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Hiql Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Dawwah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Maghilah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Adodar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 20:30 Aramda India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Ratia India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Gorser India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 15:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 15:15 Filim Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:45 Fararah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Tis Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Ghalat Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Sharkh Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 23:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Porbandar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Mandvi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Bhadia India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Beypore India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Chaliyam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Tirurangadi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Tanur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Billa Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Murayjat Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Barka Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Manumah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:45 Jaigarh India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:45 Mirya India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:45 Ratnagiri India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Bekal India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Nileshwar India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Chervattur India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Trikkaripur India  0.1