Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
03 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 137 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Nov 02:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 137 km/h 0.2 m 190 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 205 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

801 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 640 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Shil, India. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2019 02:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2019 02:00 Shil India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 02:00 Mangrol India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 02:00 Chorwad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:45 Suthri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Porbandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Aramda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Mandvi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Gorser India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Wadgam India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Kambhat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Kavi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Sarod India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:45 Jafarabad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:45 Sika India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Sutrapada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Lodhwa India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Kodinar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Dharabandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Rohisa India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:45 Delvada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:45 Nawabandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:15 Veraval India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:15 Somnath India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Gadechi India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 00:45 Tuna India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 00:45 Jodiya India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 04:30 Mahuva India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Navinal India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Mundra India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:15 Kotra Nes India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:15 Dangarvadi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Nalasopara India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Agashi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Dongri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Vasai India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:15 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Mahim India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Malad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:45 Jambura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Madhi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 01:15 Damka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Shirgaon India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Palghar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Boisar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 20:45 Dwarka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Kotada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Ghogha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:00 Dahej India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:45 Maroli India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:45 Daman India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:45 Udvada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Tarapur India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Malyan India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Harinagar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Gholvad India  0.2
05 Nov 2019 13:15 Bada Pakistan  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Mumbai India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:30 Bordi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:30 Umbargam India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:00 Mirya India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Alibag India  0.2
05 Nov 2019 13:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 13:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:00 Jaigarh India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 04:45 Revadanda India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 04:30 Murud India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 04:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 04:15 Srivardhan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 04:00 Bankot India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 04:00 Kelshi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 03:00 Anjanwel India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Purangad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Purnagad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Adiura India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:30 Boria India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:30 Guhagar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 04:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Lakabi Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:30 Vijayadurg India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:45 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:45 Mursays Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:45 Hiql Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:45 Dawwah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:45 Maghilah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Vengurla India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Terekhol India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Chopdem India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Anjuna India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:45 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:45 Isa Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:00 Pural India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 13:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:00 Devgarh India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 01:30 Achra India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:30 Kundapura India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 02:00 Malvan India  0.1