Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
04 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 198 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (07 Nov 01:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 198 km/h 1.1 m 340 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia1,698,779 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 198 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

801 mm

Up to 4.2 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia4,167,127 
50-100 mmIndia7,816,770 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 713 4.2 million
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

1.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 01:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Nov 2019 01:30 Kambhat India  1.1
07 Nov 2019 01:30 Kavi India  1.1
07 Nov 2019 01:30 Sarod India  1.1
07 Nov 2019 01:30 Wadgam India  1.1
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Dahej India  0.9
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Harinagar India  0.9
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Ghogha India  0.9
06 Nov 2019 21:45 Damka India  0.6
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Kotada India  0.5
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Mahuva India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 17:00 Jafarabad India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 16:30 Rohisa India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 16:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Daman India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Udvada India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Umbargam India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Maroli India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Tuna India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Jodiya India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Jambura India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Delvada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Nawabandar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Bordi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Gholvad India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Mundra India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:15 Mangrol India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:30 Chorwad India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:00 Dangarvadi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Shil India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:30 Veraval India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:30 Somnath India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Malyan India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 13:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Sika India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:45 Kodinar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Tarapur India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:45 Dwarka India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:45 Gadechi India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:45 Okha India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Boisar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 21:15 Suthri India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Shirgaon India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Palghar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Navinal India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:45 Gorser India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Madhi India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 13:45 Aramda India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:15 Mahim India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 12:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 12:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:00 Mandvi India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:00 Bhadia India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:15 Bada Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Nalasopara India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Agashi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Vasai India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Ratia India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Bhogat India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:45 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:45 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Dongri India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Lamba India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Miyani India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:45 Porbandar India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Adodar India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Ghalat Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 18:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 18:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 18:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 14:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 17:45 Sharkh Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 20:00 Malad India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Dorri Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Machan Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Konarak Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 21:15 Nafun Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:30 Duqm Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:45 As Sirab Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Mumbai India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Asumumbay India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:30 Periathullay India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 As Sifah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Quryat Oman  0.1