Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
05 Nov 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 191 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (07 Nov 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 191 km/h 0.7 m 415 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia2,106,639 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 191 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

801 mm

Up to 8.5 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia233,765 
100-250 mmIndia8,251,826 
50-100 mmIndia6,465,337 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 340 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 401 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 392 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 375 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 569 8.5 million
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.7m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 08:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Nov 2019 08:30 Kambhat India  0.7
07 Nov 2019 08:30 Kavi India  0.7
07 Nov 2019 08:30 Sarod India  0.7
07 Nov 2019 08:30 Wadgam India  0.7
07 Nov 2019 10:45 Ghogha India  0.6
07 Nov 2019 10:15 Dahej India  0.6
07 Nov 2019 10:15 Harinagar India  0.6
07 Nov 2019 03:00 Jafarabad India  0.6
07 Nov 2019 03:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.6
07 Nov 2019 08:45 Kotada India  0.6
07 Nov 2019 08:45 Damka India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 02:30 Dharabandar India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 02:30 Rohisa India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 05:45 Mahuva India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 03:00 Delvada India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 03:00 Nawabandar India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 09:00 Daman India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 09:00 Udvada India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 08:30 Maroli India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 08:45 Umbargam India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 09:00 Bordi India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 09:00 Gholvad India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Kotra Nes India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Dangarvadi India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 08:15 Malyan India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Tarapur India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Boisar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 23:30 Lodhwa India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:30 Kodinar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Shirgaon India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Palghar India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Mahim India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Veraval India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Somnath India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 12:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 12:00 Agashi India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 12:00 Vasai India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 04:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
05 Nov 2019 20:15 Sharkh Oman  0.2
07 Nov 2019 11:15 Dongri India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:45 Chorwad India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 19:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 23:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 23:30 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 19:45 Dwarka India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 05:30 Isa Pakistan  0.2
07 Nov 2019 11:45 Malad India  0.2
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.2
05 Nov 2019 18:15 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.2
05 Nov 2019 18:15 Matrah Oman  0.2
05 Nov 2019 18:15 Masqat Oman  0.2
05 Nov 2019 18:15 Al Bustan Oman  0.2
05 Nov 2019 18:15 Yiti Oman  0.2
05 Nov 2019 23:30 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 23:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.2
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Suthri India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 21:30 Miji Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:15 Mangrol India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 11:30 Mumbai India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 11:30 Asumumbay India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:00 Tis Iran  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:00 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:00 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 'Urf Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:30 Hasik Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Shil India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:45 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:45 Akara Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:45 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 22:45 Madhi India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 23:00 Bimmah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 23:00 Fins Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 23:00 Tiwi Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:45 As Sirab Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:45 Brar Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 15:00 Bada Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Honavar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Manki India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Mavalli India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Shirali India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Bhatkal India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 22:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:15 Sam Iran  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:15 Beris Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Gadechi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Kundapura India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:15 Ghalat Oman  0.1
07 Nov 2019 11:45 Alibag India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Okha India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 21:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 15:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Madayipara India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Madayi India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:45 Kadiapattanam India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:45 Agastiswaram India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:45 Cape Comorin India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Quilandi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 03:45 Revadanda India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 23:15 Chopdem India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 23:15 Anjuna India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 21:30 Malan Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 23:30 Aramda India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:00 Bhogat India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:15 Duqm Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:30 As Sifah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 18:15 Fararah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:15 Miyani India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:15 Porbandar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Bainduru India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Chittadi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:45 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Kayankulam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Karunagapalli India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 21:15 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 19:15 Ormara Raik Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 23:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 23:45 Kumbla India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:00 Had Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 20:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Manumah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Sib Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Mawalis Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 15:45 Filim Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:45 Cannanore India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:45 Edakkad India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:00 Murud India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:00 Srivardhan India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Tirurangadi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Tanur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 23:00 Adodar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Kattumavadi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Manamelkudi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Ammapatam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:15 Beypore India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:15 Chaliyam India  0.1