Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Nov 10:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 115 km/h 0.3 m 193 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

198 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 216 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 656 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Boria, India. This height is estimated for 01 Nov 2019 10:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01 Nov 2019 10:45 Boria India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 10:45 Guhagar India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 10:45 Jaigarh India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Vijayadurg India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Devgarh India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Pural India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Achra India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Purangad India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Purnagad India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Adiura India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Mirya India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Ratnagiri India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Malvan India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Vengurla India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Terekhol India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Chopdem India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Madgaon India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Bankot India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Kelshi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Alibag India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Honavar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Manki India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Mavalli India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Shirali India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Srivardhan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Gokarn India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Kumta India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:45 Malad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:45 Mumbai India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:45 Asumumbay India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Karwar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Belekeri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Ankola India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Nalasopara India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Agashi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Dongri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Vasai India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Revadanda India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Mahim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Shirgaon India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Palghar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Majali India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:30 Murud India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 06:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Bainduru India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Chittadi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Kundapura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:00 Tarapur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:00 Malyan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:00 Boisar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Mahuva India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:15 Kotada India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Jafarabad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 11:45 Damka India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:00 Udipi India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 11:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 11:15 Lakba Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 11:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Mulki India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Gholvad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Bordi India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Umbargam India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 11:30 Ghogha India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:15 Rohisa India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Delvada India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Nawabandar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:00 Dharabandar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 11:30 Dahej India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:30 Kumbla India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:30 Kasaragod India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:30 Maroli India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:30 Daman India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:30 Udvada India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 10:45 Harinagar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Trikkaripur India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Madayipara India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Madayi India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Kannapuram India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Mangaluru India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:00 Nafun Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Periathullay India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 11:15 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 12:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Tiruchendur India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:30 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:00 Porbandar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:00 Adodar India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 09:00 Ratia India  0.1