Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
03 Nov 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 184 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Nov 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 184 km/h 0.2 m 267 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia2,519 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 194 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

801 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmIndia174,401 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 806 -
- - - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Suthri, India. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2019 20:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2019 20:00 Suthri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:45 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:45 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:45 Aramda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Dwarka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 20:15 Mandvi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 20:15 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Porbandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Gorser India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Madhi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 21:15 Sika India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 00:00 Tuna India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Navinal India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 23:15 Jodiya India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Shil India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Mangrol India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:15 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:15 Mundra India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 00:00 Jambura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 21:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:15 Chorwad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:15 Veraval India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:15 Somnath India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:15 Sutrapada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:30 Lodhwa India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Kodinar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:30 Dharabandar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:30 Rohisa India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:30 Kotra Nes India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:45 Mahuva India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:15 Dangarvadi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Boria India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Guhagar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Anjanwel India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 23:45 Jafarabad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 23:30 Delvada India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 23:30 Nawabandar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:00 Tarapur India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:00 Gholvad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:00 Malyan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:00 Boisar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 23:30 Bordi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:00 Ghogha India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Nalasopara India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Agashi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Dongri India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Vasai India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:00 Dahej India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:15 Mursays Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:15 Hiql Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 20:30 Bada Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:15 Kotada India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:15 Umbargam India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Murud India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:45 Srivardhan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:45 Bankot India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:45 Kelshi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:00 Harinagar India  0.1