Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
02 Nov 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 140 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Nov 22:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 140 km/h 0.3 m 175 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

801 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 771 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 22:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 22:15 Kambhat India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:15 Kavi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:15 Sarod India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:15 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Wadgam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:00 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:45 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:45 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:15 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:15 Rohisa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Mangrol India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Chorwad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Veraval India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Somnath India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:00 Damka India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:45 Delvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:45 Nawabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:45 Kotra Nes India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:45 Dangarvadi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Shil India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:15 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Kodinar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:30 Porbandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:30 Adodar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:30 Ratia India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:45 Gorser India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Tarapur India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Malyan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Boisar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Gholvad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 18:15 Bordi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 18:15 Umbargam India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Maroli India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Daman India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Udvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Shirgaon India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Palghar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:30 Mahim India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 18:30 Dongri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 18:30 Malad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 18:30 Vasai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 18:30 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 18:30 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:15 Okha India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:15 Aramda India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:15 Suthri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:00 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:30 Miyani India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Alibag India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:15 Lamba India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Mandvi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Tuna India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:45 Bhogat India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Jodiya India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:15 Dwarka India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:15 Madhi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:15 Bhadia India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Gadechi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Jambura India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:00 Murud India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Sika India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:45 Mundra India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Chudeswar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Navinal India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 22:30 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 18:45 Guhagar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 18:45 Anjanwel India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:15 Revadanda India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 18:30 Boria India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 22:45 Jaigarh India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 21:45 Mirya India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 21:45 Ratnagiri India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 21:45 Purangad India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 21:45 Purnagad India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Madgaon India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Advota India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 21:30 Adiura India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Qaysad Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Vijayadurg India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Devgarh India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Pural India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Belekeri India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Ankola India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Gokarn India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 21:15 Achra India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 21:15 Malvan India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Chopdem India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Anjuna India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Marmagao India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Panaji India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:45 Terekhol India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Agacaim India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 18:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1