Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 97 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Nov 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 97 km/h 0.3 m 593 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

198 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia47,525 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 122 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia18,741 
100-250 mmIndia10,399,596 
50-100 mmIndia10,273,357 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 760 10.4 million
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kambhat India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kavi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Sarod India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Wadgam India  0.3
30 Oct 2019 17:30 Nafun Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Sharkh Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 13:15 As Sirab Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 17:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Ghogha India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 02:45 Dahej India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 02:45 Harinagar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Ghalat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Duqm Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:00 Kotada India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Lakba Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:45 Mahuva India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 12:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:30 Jafarabad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 00:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Damka India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Malad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Dharabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Rohisa India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Tarapur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Gholvad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Malyan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 22:30 Boisar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Shirgaon India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Palghar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Mahim India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Dongri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Vasai India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Mursays Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Hiql Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Maghilah Oman  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Umbargam India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Maroli India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Daman India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Udvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Bordi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Talakkolattur India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kozhikode India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Beypore India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Chaliyam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Delvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:30 Nawabandar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Guhagar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Honavar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Manki India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Mavalli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Shirali India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:45 Bhatkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:45 Edakkad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:45 Dharmadam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:45 Tellicherry India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:45 Mahe India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:45 Badagara India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:45 Payyoli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Miji Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 23:45 Quilandi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Bainduru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Chittadi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Kundapura India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kotra Nes India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Dangarvadi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 17:45 Boria India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 17:45 Jaigarh India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Tanur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Bankot India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:30 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Alibag India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Bekal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Nileshwar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Chervattur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Trikkaripur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Murud India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Gokarn India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:45 Kumta India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Madayipara India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Madayi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Kannapuram India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Valapattanam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Azhikkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Mirya India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Barambah Pakistan  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Cannanore India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 00:30 Karwar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 00:30 Belekeri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 00:30 Ankola India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Marmagao India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Agacaim India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Madgaon India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 16:00 Kasaragod India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Malan Pakistan  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:45 Revadanda India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Hasik Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Udipi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kodinar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 02:30 Periathullay India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 02:30 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 02:30 Tiruchendur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 00:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Suthri India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Manattala India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Chavakkad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Guruvayur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Chaughat India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Talikkulam India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Purnagad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 18:00 Adiura India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 13:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
01 Nov 2019 12:30 Vijayadurg India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Veraval India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Somnath India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Shil India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Mangrol India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Chorwad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Advota India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Chaudi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Majali India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 12:15 Vengurla India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 12:15 Terekhol India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Ponnani India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Veliyangod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Kadikkad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Chopdem India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Anjuna India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 23:45 Panaji India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Kumbla India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:15 Fararah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:00 Mulki India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Al Fujayrah United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:00 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:00 'Urf Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 12:15 Devgarh India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 12:15 Pural India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Sib Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Mawalis Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:45 Azaiba Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 12:00 Achra India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Pusht Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Gorser India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:45 Manumah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Khadra' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:30 Cochin India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:30 Mattancheri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
01 Nov 2019 12:30 Malvan India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Ratia India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Porbandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:45 Adodar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Gadechi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Okha India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 12:15 Aramda India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 17:15 Matrah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Kumza Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Ash Shishah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Pappinivatti India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:00 Haripad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:00 Kayankulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:00 Karunagapalli India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:15 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:00 Turavur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 22:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Kattumavadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Manamelkudi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Ammapatam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Billa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Murayjat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Barka Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Vilinjam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Puvar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Taingapatam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 13:00 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 15:00 Sirik Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Dawanij Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:15 Al Liwa Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Miyani India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Bhogat India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Lamba India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 14:30 Brar Pakistan  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:15 Pentakota India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 16:30 Khawr Kalba United Arab Emirates  0.1