Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
31 Oct 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 130 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Nov 07:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 130 km/h 0.3 m 154 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia1,276 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 184 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

801 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 525 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 07:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 07:45 Kambhat India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:45 Kavi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:45 Sarod India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:45 Wadgam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 15:15 Bainduru India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 15:15 Chittadi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 03:45 Ghogha India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Ankola India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Gokarn India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Kumta India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Harinagar India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 15:15 Kundapura India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:45 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Tarapur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Gholvad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Malyan India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Boisar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Rohisa India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Shirali India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 16:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Shirgaon India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Palghar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Mahim India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Honavar India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Manki India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Mavalli India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Maroli India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Daman India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Udvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Damka India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Umbargam India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Bordi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Delvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Nawabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:30 Nalasopara India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:30 Agashi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:30 Vasai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Dongri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Malad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Asumumbay India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Dangarvadi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Belekeri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Kotra Nes India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Kodinar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Kelshi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Karwar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Veraval India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Somnath India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Murud India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Shil India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Mangrol India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Chorwad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Boria India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Guhagar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Anjanwel India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Alibag India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Jaigarh India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Tuna India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Jodiya India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Mirya India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Ratnagiri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Revadanda India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:45 Udipi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Gorser India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Ratia India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:30 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:30 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:30 Majali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:45 Mulki India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Madgaon India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Jambura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Terekhol India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Adodar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:00 Chopdem India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:30 Purangad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:30 Purnagad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:30 Adiura India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Porbandar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Achra India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Malvan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:15 Nafun Oman  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Mundra India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Pural India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:45 Sika India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Miyani India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:15 As Sirab Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:00 Kumbla India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Navinal India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:45 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 08:15 Aramda India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Mandvi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Bhadia India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Madhi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:45 Gadechi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:45 Okha India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Dwarka India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:30 Kasaragod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:30 Bekal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:30 Nileshwar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:15 Suthri India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Ghalat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 18:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:30 Filim Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Sharkh Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Madayipara India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Madayi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Kannapuram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Chirakkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Valapattanam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Azhikkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:30 Chervattur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Matrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Masqat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Yiti Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:15 Dawwah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Edakkad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Dharmadam India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Tellicherry India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Mahe India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Badagara India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Payyoli India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:45 Fararah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1