Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
04 Nov 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 180 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (07 Nov 05:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 180 km/h 0.5 m 267 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia2,452 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 180 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

801 mm

Up to 260 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia263,308 
50-100 mmIndia2,364,571 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 740 260 thousand
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Ghogha, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 05:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Nov 2019 05:45 Ghogha India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 05:45 Dahej India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 05:45 Harinagar India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 06:00 Wadgam India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 06:00 Kambhat India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 06:00 Kavi India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 06:00 Sarod India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 03:30 Kotada India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 05:30 Damka India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:00 Mahuva India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 05:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:00 Jafarabad India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 05:30 Daman India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 05:30 Udvada India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 05:30 Maroli India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 01:15 Rohisa India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 06:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 05:45 Umbargam India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 05:15 Bordi India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 05:45 Gholvad India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 05:00 Malyan India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:00 Delvada India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:00 Nawabandar India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:30 Kotra Nes India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:30 Dangarvadi India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 05:00 Tarapur India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Boisar India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:30 Shirgaon India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:30 Palghar India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:30 Mahim India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:00 Kodinar India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 01:15 Sutrapada India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:00 Veraval India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:00 Somnath India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 06:15 Suthri India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Nalasopara India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Agashi India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Vasai India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Dongri India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 13:45 Okha India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 13:45 Aramda India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 08:30 Mandvi India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 08:30 Bhadia India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 12:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 12:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 13:15 Bada Pakistan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 07:15 Dwarka India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Chorwad India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 07:00 Gadechi India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 05:00 Malad India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 10:45 Tuna India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 10:45 Jodiya India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 08:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 10:30 Madhi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Mangrol India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 06:45 Bhogat India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 08:15 Navinal India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 08:15 Mundra India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 06:30 Lamba India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 06:30 Miyani India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 10:00 Sika India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Shil India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 08:15 Jhankhar India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 10:15 Jambura India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Porbandar India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Adodar India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:30 Mumbai India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 04:30 Asumumbay India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:45 Ratia India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 10:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 02:15 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 02:15 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Gorser India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Mirya India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 14:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 09:00 Payyoli India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 09:00 Quilandi India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 09:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:00 Beypore India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 15:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:30 Periathullay India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Chaliyam India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 16:15 Tirurangadi India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:45 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1