Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
31 Oct 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Nov 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 126 km/h 0.3 m 377 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia46,293 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 130 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

801 mm

Up to 2 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia1,984,051 
50-100 mmIndia9,790,213 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 738 2 million
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 07:30 Kambhat India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:30 Kavi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 07:30 Sarod India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 18:00 Wadgam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:30 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:30 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Tarapur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Shirgaon India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Palghar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Boisar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Daman India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Udvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Malyan India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Mahim India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Nalasopara India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Agashi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Dongri India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Vasai India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Gholvad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Bordi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Umbargam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Maroli India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Malad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Dharabandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Rohisa India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Honavar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Manki India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Mavalli India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Mumbai India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Kundapura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Bainduru India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Chittadi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Gokarn India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Kumta India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Murud India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Delvada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Nawabandar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Ankola India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Belekeri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Kotra Nes India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Dangarvadi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Karwar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Boria India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Guhagar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Anjanwel India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Jaigarh India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:45 Revadanda India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Alibag India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Mirya India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Kodinar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Madgaon India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Udipi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Majali India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:00 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:00 Somnath India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Mangrol India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Chorwad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Shil India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Purnagad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:15 Adiura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Anjuna India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 01:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 01:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Chopdem India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Nafun Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Duqm Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Pural India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Ratia India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Gorser India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 13:15 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 13:15 Terekhol India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Edakkad India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Dharmadam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Tellicherry India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Mahe India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Badagara India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Payyoli India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Mulki India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:00 Achra India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Madayipara India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Madayi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Kannapuram India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Chirakkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Valapattanam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Azhikkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Cannanore India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 04:00 Nileshwar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 04:00 Chervattur India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 04:00 Trikkaripur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Malvan India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Adodar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Periathullay India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Tiruchendur India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Porbandar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:00 Ghalat Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:00 Sharkh Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:15 Quilandi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:15 Talakkolattur India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Mursays Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Hiql Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Dawwah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Maghilah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kozhikode India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Beypore India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Chaliyam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Kayalpatnam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 02:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 02:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 02:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 02:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Mangaluru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Kumbla India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 23:15 Tuna India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:15 Jodiya India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Kasaragod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:45 Bekal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Tanur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Haripad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Kayankulam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Karunagapalli India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:45 Miyani India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Lamba India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:00 'Urf Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 22:45 Jambura India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Chaughat India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Talikkulam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Pappinivatti India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:45 Bhogat India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Aramda India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
31 Oct 2019 03:15 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:15 Sika India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:15 Suthri India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:15 Mundra India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Alleppey India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Ambalapulai India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:45 Gadechi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 05:45 Okha India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Mandvi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 19:15 Bhadia India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 13:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 02:00 Turavur India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 00:00 Madhi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Jhankhar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Navinal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Vijayapati India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Cochin India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Mattancheri India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:30 Ponnani India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:30 Veliyangod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Kadikkad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Manattala India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Chavakkad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 01:30 Guruvayur India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:45 Dwarka India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 04:45 Fararah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 22:00 Chudeswar India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 10:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Filim Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 02:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1