Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
31 Oct 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 115 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (02 Nov 13:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 115 km/h 0.3 m 277 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

198 km/h

Up to 40 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia36,557 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 180 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia556,852 
50-100 mmIndia1,413,647 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 570 560 thousand
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Jafarabad, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 13:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 13:30 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Mahuva India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Kambhat India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Kavi India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Sarod India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Rohisa India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Wadgam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Dahej India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 16:45 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Delvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:15 Harinagar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Daman India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Udvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Maroli India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Bordi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:15 Umbargam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Tarapur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Gholvad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Malyan India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Boisar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Mahim India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Nalasopara India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Agashi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Vasai India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 16:15 Shirgaon India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 16:15 Palghar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Dangarvadi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Dongri India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Kotra Nes India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:30 Malad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Mumbai India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Asumumbay India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Lodhwa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Kodinar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Sutrapada India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 01:15 Veraval India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 01:15 Somnath India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Mangrol India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Chorwad India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Shil India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Alibag India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 09:15 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 09:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Honavar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Manki India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Mavalli India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Gorser India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Murud India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Gokarn India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Kumta India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 09:15 Bainduru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 09:15 Chittadi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:00 Kundapura India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Ankola India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Revadanda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Adodar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Guhagar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Boria India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 01:15 Jaigarh India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Belekeri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Karwar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Madgaon India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Porbandar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:45 Mirya India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:45 Udipi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:15 Mulki India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:00 Majali India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:30 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:30 Purnagad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Panaji India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:15 Adiura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:45 Terekhol India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Kumbla India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Kasaragod India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Bekal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 13:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 13:15 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 13:15 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:30 Pural India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Achra India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 19:45 Malvan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:15 Nafun Oman  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Bhogat India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Nileshwar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Chervattur India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 As Sirab Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 10:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:15 Mangaluru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:00 Ghalat Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:00 Sharkh Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Madayipara India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Madayi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Kannapuram India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Valapattanam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Azhikkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:45 Trikkaripur India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Cannanore India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Edakkad India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Dharmadam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Tellicherry India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Mahe India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:00 Madhi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Badagara India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Payyoli India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 14:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 15:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 10:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 05:30 Dwarka India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Quilandi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Talakkolattur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Kozhikode India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Beypore India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Gadechi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Filim Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 05:30 Okha India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 18:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:00 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:15 Suthri India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Aramda India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Periathullay India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:15 Tiruchendur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:45 Sika India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:30 Chaliyam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:30 Tirurangadi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:30 Tanur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Ambalapulai India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Haripad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 01:45 Mandvi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 01:45 Bhadia India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Kayankulam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:45 Karunagapalli India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:30 Ponnani India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 08:30 Veliyangod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Matrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Masqat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 12:15 Yiti Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Tuna India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 07:30 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:15 Jodiya India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:15 Mundra India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:00 Kadikkad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:00 Manattala India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:00 Chavakkad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 09:00 Guruvayur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 14:45 Fararah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:45 Jambura India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 23:30 Navinal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Dayl Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Al Qasabiyat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Al Khaburah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Qasabiyat az Za'ab Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 11:45 Khalil Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 06:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 01:00 Chudeswar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 01:00 Jhankhar India  0.1