Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
04 Nov 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (07 Nov 04:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 194 km/h 1.2 m 401 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia3,501,879 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 194 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

801 mm

Up to 3.8 million can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia43,652 
250-500 mmIndia460,380 
100-250 mmIndia3,339,289 
50-100 mmIndia8,834,136 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 340 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 657 3.8 million
- - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

1.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 04:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Wadgam India  1.2
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Kambhat India  1.2
07 Nov 2019 05:00 Kavi India  1.2
07 Nov 2019 05:00 Sarod India  1.2
07 Nov 2019 04:15 Ghogha India  1.0
07 Nov 2019 01:00 Dahej India  0.9
07 Nov 2019 01:00 Harinagar India  0.9
07 Nov 2019 00:15 Kotada India  0.7
07 Nov 2019 00:30 Damka India  0.7
06 Nov 2019 22:15 Mahuva India  0.6
06 Nov 2019 21:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.6
06 Nov 2019 20:00 Jafarabad India  0.5
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Rohisa India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Dharabandar India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Daman India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Udvada India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 22:15 Umbargam India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 22:15 Maroli India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 23:45 Bordi India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Gholvad India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Delvada India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Nawabandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:15 Malyan India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Tarapur India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 16:45 Kotra Nes India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 16:45 Dangarvadi India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Boisar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Shirgaon India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Palghar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:15 Mahim India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 16:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:00 Kodinar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Sutrapada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 15:30 Veraval India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 15:30 Somnath India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 15:30 Mangrol India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 15:30 Chorwad India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:45 Dwarka India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:45 Madhi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 15:15 Shil India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Nalasopara India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Agashi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Vasai India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Dongri India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Ghalat Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 21:15 Suthri India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:30 Gorser India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.2
06 Nov 2019 12:30 Ratia India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 Al Kalban Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:00 'Urf Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Matrah Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Masqat Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Al Bustan Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Yiti Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:30 Mursays Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:30 Hiql Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:30 Dawwah Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:30 Maghilah Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Okha India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:45 Sharkh Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 21:15 Gadechi India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 21:15 Aramda India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Malad India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
07 Nov 2019 01:30 Jambura India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:45 Sam Iran  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:45 Beris Iran  0.2
07 Nov 2019 01:30 Tuna India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 01:30 Jodiya India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 21:30 As Sirab Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 21:15 Nafun Oman  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:45 Mandvi India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Bhadia India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Fins Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Tiwi Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Qalhat Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Bi'r Bira' Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Tis Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:30 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:45 Bhogat India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:15 Mumbai India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:15 Asumumbay India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:15 As Sifah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Quryat Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 13:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 13:30 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 13:30 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 15:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
07 Nov 2019 01:15 Mundra India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 14:45 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 14:45 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 14:45 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:30 Sika India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 02:15 Hasik Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 15:30 Bada Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Had Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 21:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 21:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 14:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:30 Jhankhar India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 14:45 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Adodar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 05:15 Pusht Iran  0.1
05 Nov 2019 05:15 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Ramlah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Daghmar Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Porbandar India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 18:30 Navinal India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 02:15 Lamba India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Alibag India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 22:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Machan Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Konarak Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Sib Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Mawalis Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Azaiba Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 18:45 Miyani India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:15 Chudeswar India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 04:00 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:30 Periathullay India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 03:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:15 Qaysad Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:45 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 04:00 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:45 Madayi India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:45 Kannapuram India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 00:45 Cannanore India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 13:30 Malan Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:45 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 07:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
05 Nov 2019 13:00 Miji Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:45 Vanak Iran  0.1
05 Nov 2019 09:15 Agastiswaram India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 09:15 Cape Comorin India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 09:15 Erukkandurai India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 09:15 Vijayapati India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 10:00 Tiruchendur India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 10:00 Kayalpatnam India  0.1