Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
03 Nov 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 155 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Nov 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 155 km/h 0.2 m 274 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 205 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

801 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 601 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Porbandar, India. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2019 06:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Porbandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Shil India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Mangrol India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Suthri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:15 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Gorser India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:15 Chorwad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:15 Veraval India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:15 Somnath India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Aramda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Tuna India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Jodiya India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Nalasopara India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Agashi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Dongri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Vasai India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Mahim India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:30 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:30 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Mundra India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Madhi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Sika India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Navinal India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Malad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Jambura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:15 Dwarka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Mandvi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Shirgaon India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Palghar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Kotra Nes India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Dangarvadi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Delvada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Nawabandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Boisar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 08:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Tarapur India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Malyan India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Kotada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Dharabandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Rohisa India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Kodinar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Mahuva India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Gholvad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Mumbai India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:00 Ghogha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Jafarabad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:00 Dahej India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:30 Bordi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:30 Umbargam India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:30 Maroli India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Harinagar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Alibag India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:30 Daman India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 07:30 Udvada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:30 Damka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 08:15 Revadanda India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Kambhat India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Kavi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Sarod India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:00 Wadgam India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:15 Murud India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Boria India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Guhagar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:00 Jaigarh India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:15 Anjanwel India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Srivardhan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Bankot India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 07:15 Kelshi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:45 Mirya India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:45 Ratnagiri India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Marmagao India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Panaji India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Agacaim India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Madgaon India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:45 Gokarn India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:45 Kumta India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:45 Devgarh India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:45 Pural India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:45 Achra India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:30 Purangad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:30 Purnagad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 08:30 Adiura India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Pappinivatti India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Honavar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Manki India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Mavalli India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Shirali India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 06:45 Bhatkal India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Tellicherry India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Mahe India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Badagara India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:15 Payyoli India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Advota India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Chaudi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Majali India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 09:00 Karwar India  0.1