Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
06 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (07 Nov 06:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.5 m 330 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

198 km/h

Up to 510 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia510,542 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 06 Nov 2019 00:00 108 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia502,425 
50-100 mmIndia3,823,846 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 340 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 401 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 392 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 375 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 415 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 06 Nov 2019 00:00 416 500 thousand
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Wadgam, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 06:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Wadgam India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 06:30 Kambhat India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 06:45 Kavi India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 06:45 Sarod India  0.5
07 Nov 2019 04:45 Ghogha India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 03:45 Dahej India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 03:45 Harinagar India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 02:30 Kotada India  0.3
07 Nov 2019 01:30 Damka India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:15 Mahuva India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Jafarabad India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:30 Maroli India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:30 Daman India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:30 Udvada India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Umbargam India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Rohisa India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 01:00 Bordi India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:15 Gholvad India  0.2
07 Nov 2019 00:15 Malyan India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:45 Dharabandar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Veraval India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Somnath India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Dwarka India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Gadechi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:15 Delvada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:15 Nawabandar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:45 Tarapur India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:45 Boisar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Chorwad India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:15 Kotra Nes India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:15 Dangarvadi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:30 Mahim India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:30 Nalasopara India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:30 Agashi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:30 Vasai India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:15 Lodhwa India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 15:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
06 Nov 2019 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Shil India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:45 Mangrol India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Shirgaon India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Palghar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:30 Kodinar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 07:30 Hasik Oman  0.2
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 04:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:30 Dongri India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:45 Brar Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Suthri India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:45 Sam Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:45 Beris Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Madhi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:30 Qaysad Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Gorser India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:45 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:15 Malan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Al Kalban Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:15 Ghalat Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:30 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 23:00 Malad India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Mumbai India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Asumumbay India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Kundapura India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Okha India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Manumah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Sib Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Mawalis Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:30 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Bada Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Jiwani Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Miji Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 05:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 21:15 Alibag India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:15 Pusht Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:15 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 02:15 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:45 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 As Sirab Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Akara Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Tis Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Chah Bahar Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:45 Ahmadizeh Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:30 Aramda India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:30 Kumta India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Kumbla India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 14:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Madayipara India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Madayi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Bainduru India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Chittadi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Fararah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:30 Terekhol India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:30 Chopdem India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:30 Anjuna India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Honavar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Manki India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Mavalli India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Shirali India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Bhatkal India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 19:00 Ratia India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Udipi India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 08:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:15 Quilandi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 16:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Kayankulam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 00:45 Karunagapalli India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Cannanore India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Edakkad India  0.1
07 Nov 2019 00:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Pozm Tiab Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Machan Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 03:30 Konarak Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Bayahi Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Kereti Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Khowr Rapch Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Tanur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 04:45 Chervattur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Agastiswaram India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Cape Comorin India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Erukkandurai India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 01:45 Vijayapati India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:30 Periathullay India  0.1