Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
03 Nov 2019 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (03 Nov 12:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 162 km/h 0.2 m 273 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 194 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

801 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 648 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Suthri, India. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2019 12:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 03 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
03 Nov 2019 12:45 Suthri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:45 Sika India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:30 Aramda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Dwarka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Madhi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:45 Mandvi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:45 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:45 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Navinal India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Mundra India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:45 Tuna India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:45 Jodiya India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:15 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:15 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 16:15 Jambura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Porbandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:15 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:15 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 18:45 Gorser India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Kambhat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Kavi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Sarod India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:15 Wadgam India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:15 Shil India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:45 Delvada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:45 Nawabandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Mangrol India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Chorwad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Veraval India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Somnath India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Lodhwa India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Kodinar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Rohisa India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:30 Jafarabad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Ghogha India  0.2
05 Nov 2019 12:00 Bada Pakistan  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Kotra Nes India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Dangarvadi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Tarapur India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Gholvad India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Malyan India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Boisar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Dahej India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Harinagar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:15 Dharabandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:15 Dongri India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:15 Malad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:15 Vasai India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 12:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Shirgaon India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Palghar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Mahim India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Bordi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Umbargam India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Maroli India  0.1
05 Nov 2019 11:45 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Kotada India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:30 Mahuva India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:30 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:30 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:30 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:30 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Daman India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 12:30 Udvada India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Mirya India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Ratnagiri India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:15 Maghilah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Agashi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Boria India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Guhagar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Anjanwel India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 19:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Murud India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:30 Jaigarh India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 22:30 Ghalat Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 19:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:15 Alibag India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 18:30 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Mumbai India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Asumumbay India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 08:15 Honavar India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 08:15 Manki India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 08:15 Mavalli India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 08:15 Shirali India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 08:15 Bhatkal India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Bankot India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Kelshi India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 14:30 Srivardhan India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:00 Bekal India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:00 Nileshwar India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:00 Chervattur India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 16:00 Trikkaripur India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 15:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:15 Edakkad India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:15 Dharmadam India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:15 Tellicherry India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:15 Mahe India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:15 Badagara India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 17:15 Payyoli India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:30 Brar Pakistan  0.1