Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
04 Nov 2019 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 194 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (07 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 194 km/h 0.4 m 251 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia248,786 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 194 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

801 mm

Up to 310 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmIndia314,116 
50-100 mmIndia1,097,230 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 730 310 thousand
- - - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 04 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Kambhat India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Kavi India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Sarod India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Wadgam India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Dahej India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Ghogha India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Harinagar India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Kotada India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Damka India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 23:45 Jafarabad India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 23:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
07 Nov 2019 00:00 Mahuva India  0.4
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Dharabandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 22:00 Rohisa India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Delvada India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 21:30 Nawabandar India  0.3
06 Nov 2019 20:45 Dangarvadi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Daman India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Udvada India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Maroli India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 20:45 Kotra Nes India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Umbargam India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:45 Bordi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Gholvad India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Malyan India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:00 Tarapur India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 01:30 Aramda India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:30 Dwarka India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:30 Gadechi India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 23:00 Boisar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 06:15 Suthri India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:30 Mandvi India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:30 Bhadia India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Lodhwa India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 19:45 Kodinar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 17:45 Tuna India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 17:45 Jodiya India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:45 Okha India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:30 Madhi India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 14:45 Bada Pakistan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 00:30 Sika India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 01:45 Chudeswar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 00:00 Jambura India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:30 Navinal India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 03:30 Lamba India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 03:30 Miyani India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Shirgaon India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Palghar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 00:00 Mundra India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:45 Porbandar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:45 Adodar India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 22:30 Mahim India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 01:15 Jhankhar India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:00 Bhogat India  0.2
06 Nov 2019 20:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 20:15 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.2
04 Nov 2019 02:30 Gorser India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 13:45 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 20:00 Veraval India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 20:00 Somnath India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 02:00 Ratia India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Shil India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Mangrol India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 03:15 Chorwad India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:00 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:00 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Mursays Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Hiql Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Dawwah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Maghilah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:30 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Nalasopara India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Agashi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 22:45 Vasai India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Mirya India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
05 Nov 2019 14:00 Brar Pakistan  0.1
04 Nov 2019 14:30 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 05:15 Yiti Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 05:15 As Sifah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 23:15 Dongri India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Kumza Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 20:00 Ash Shishah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 05:00 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 05:00 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 05:00 Masnaah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 05:00 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 05:00 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 03:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 03:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 00:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 00:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
04 Nov 2019 08:45 Alleppey India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 08:45 Ambalapulai India  0.1