Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 126 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Nov 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 126 km/h 0.4 m 332 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

801 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 878 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Kambhat India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Kavi India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Sarod India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Wadgam India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Dahej India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Harinagar India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Ghogha India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Dharabandar India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Rohisa India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Jafarabad India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Mahuva India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Kotada India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Delvada India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Nawabandar India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Bordi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Umbargam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Maroli India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Damka India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Gholvad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Daman India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:45 Udvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Tarapur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Malyan India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Boisar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Kotra Nes India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Dangarvadi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Shirgaon India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Palghar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Mahim India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Nalasopara India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Agashi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Dongri India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:15 Vasai India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Sutrapada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Lodhwa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Kodinar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Veraval India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 19:45 Somnath India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 05:45 Malad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Shil India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Mangrol India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Chorwad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Mumbai India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Asumumbay India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:00 Gorser India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Alibag India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 20:30 Ratia India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 16:45 Tuna India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 16:45 Jodiya India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 20:30 Suthri India  0.3
03 Nov 2019 06:15 Adodar India  0.3
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Marmagao India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Agacaim India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Madgaon India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Aramda India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 21:00 Murud India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Porbandar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:45 Vengurla India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:45 Terekhol India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:45 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:45 Anjuna India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 21:15 Revadanda India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Panaji India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Jambura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 14:00 Boria India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 14:00 Guhagar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 14:00 Jaigarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 21:00 Bankot India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 21:00 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 02:30 Srivardhan India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:30 Okha India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 13:45 Anjanwel India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:45 Mirya India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:45 Ratnagiri India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Mandvi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Bhadia India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:00 Mavalli India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:00 Shirali India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:00 Bhatkal India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:00 Belekeri India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:00 Ankola India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 03:00 Gokarn India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Karwar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 20:45 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Navinal India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 06:30 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 16:30 Mundra India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:30 Lamba India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:15 Sika India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 15:00 Jhankhar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:00 Purangad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:00 Adiura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:30 Dwarka India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 20:15 Purnagad India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Honavar India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 09:45 Manki India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 05:45 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 19:15 Madhi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:45 Kumta India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Achra India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:30 Malvan India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Advota India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Chaudi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Majali India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Devgarh India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 08:15 Pural India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 14:45 Kundapura India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Udipi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Bainduru India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Chittadi India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 00:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 01:15 Mulki India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 04:00 Lakabi Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 05:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Nafun Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:30 Mangaluru India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Kumbla India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 03:30 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 06:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 04:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Trikkaripur India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Madayipara India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Madayi India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Kannapuram India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Chirakkal India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Valapattanam India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 07:45 Azhikkal India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Quilandi India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Kozhikode India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Beypore India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 03:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:00 Sur Masirah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:00 Hiql Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:00 Maghilah Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 13:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Edakkad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Dharmadam India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Tellicherry India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Mahe India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Badagara India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:00 Payyoli India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 04:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Kasaragod India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 01:45 Bekal India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 02:15 Cannanore India  0.1
03 Nov 2019 21:00 Bada Pakistan  0.1