Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 108 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (02 Nov 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 108 km/h 0.4 m 190 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

198 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 198 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 1001 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 02 Nov 2019 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 02 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Kambhat India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Kavi India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Sarod India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 07:00 Wadgam India  0.4
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Jafarabad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Dharabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Rohisa India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 13:45 Mahuva India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 09:00 Kotada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Delvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Nawabandar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 12:00 Ghogha India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:30 Kotra Nes India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:30 Dangarvadi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Tarapur India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Shirgaon India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Palghar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Boisar India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Gholvad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Bordi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Umbargam India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:45 Maroli India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:30 Daman India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 15:30 Udvada India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 14:00 Malyan India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Nalasopara India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Dongri India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Malad India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Vasai India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Mahim India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Agashi India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Mumbai India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Asumumbay India  0.3
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Damka India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:00 Dahej India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Mangrol India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Chorwad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Veraval India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Somnath India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:45 Lodhwa India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 15:45 Kodinar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Sutrapada India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 11:30 Harinagar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 21:00 Shil India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:15 Ratia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:15 Gorser India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 13:00 Murud India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:00 Porbandar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:00 Adodar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Suthri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:00 Alibag India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Agar Panchaitan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Srivardhan India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Bankot India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:15 Kelshi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 06:30 Revadanda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:45 Mundra India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 14:00 Jambura India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:15 Sika India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:00 Chudeswar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:30 Jhankhar India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Tuna India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 13:00 Jodiya India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Mandvi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Bhadia India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 10:45 Navinal India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:15 Aramda India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Okha India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 12:00 Gadechi India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 03:30 Miyani India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Bhogat India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 02:15 Lamba India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 12:15 Anjanwel India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 11:45 Dwarka India  0.2
03 Nov 2019 02:30 Madhi India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Boria India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Guhagar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Jaigarh India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Mirya India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Ratnagiri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Purangad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Purnagad India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:00 Adiura India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Karwar India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Belekeri India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Ankola India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Gokarn India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Vengurla India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Terekhol India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Vijayadurg India  0.2
02 Nov 2019 08:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:00 Bada Pakistan  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Malvan India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Devgarh India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Pural India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Chopdem India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Anjuna India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Kundapura India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Achra India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Madgaon India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Marmagao India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Vasco Da Gama India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Panaji India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Quilandi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Talakkolattur India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Kozhikode India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:15 Beypore India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Advota India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Agacaim India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:15 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Chaudi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Majali India  0.1
04 Nov 2019 13:15 Cheru Pakistan  0.1
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Lakba Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Lakabi Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 13:15 Qaysad Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Honavar India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Manki India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Mavalli India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Shirali India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Bhatkal India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Bainduru India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:15 Chittadi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:30 Kumta India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:30 Payyoli India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Ponnani India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Veliyangod India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 12:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 17:45 Edakkad India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 17:45 Dharmadam India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 17:45 Tellicherry India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 17:45 Mahe India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 17:45 Badagara India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 08:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
02 Nov 2019 10:00 Udipi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Tirurangadi India  0.1
02 Nov 2019 09:45 Tanur India  0.1