Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
06 Nov 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 94 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (06 Nov 07:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 94 km/h 0.2 m 189 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

198 km/h

Up to 230 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia226,939 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 155 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 06 Nov 2019 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 06 Nov 2019 06:00 126 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndia143,417 
100-250 mmIndia482,594 
50-100 mmIndia1,993,994 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 173 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 01 Nov 2019 00:00 332 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2019 06:00 193 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 01 Nov 2019 12:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 01 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 02 Nov 2019 06:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 02 Nov 2019 12:00 210 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 02 Nov 2019 18:00 175 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 03 Nov 2019 00:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 03 Nov 2019 06:00 274 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 03 Nov 2019 12:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 03 Nov 2019 18:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 04 Nov 2019 00:00 251 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 04 Nov 2019 06:00 267 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 04 Nov 2019 12:00 340 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 04 Nov 2019 18:00 401 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 05 Nov 2019 00:00 392 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 05 Nov 2019 06:00 287 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 05 Nov 2019 12:00 375 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 05 Nov 2019 18:00 415 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 06 Nov 2019 00:00 330 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 06 Nov 2019 06:00 444 630 thousand
- - - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Hasik, Oman. This height is estimated for 06 Nov 2019 07:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06 Nov 2019 07:30 Hasik Oman  0.2
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Suthri India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Lakabi Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Qaysad Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Isa Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Manumah Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Sib Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 Mawalis Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:00 Ghalat Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Kundapura India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:45 Naka Kharari Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:45 Gadani Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:15 Pusht Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:15 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Miji Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:30 Malan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:30 Kumta India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:15 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 12:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:00 Sonmiani Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Madayipara India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:15 Madayi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Bambu Khan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Goth Jumo Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Pishukan Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Akara Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:00 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:30 Gadechi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:30 Okha India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:30 Aramda India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Bainduru India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Chittadi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:30 As Sirab Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:45 Kumbla India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 11:15 Ormara Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Honavar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Manki India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Mavalli India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Shirali India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Bhatkal India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Tarapur India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Shirgaon India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Palghar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Boisar India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:15 Sharkh Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:00 Agastiswaram India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:00 Cape Comorin India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:00 Erukkandurai India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:00 Vijayapati India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:00 Dwarka India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Barka Oman  0.1
06 Nov 2019 06:45 Brar Pakistan  0.1
06 Nov 2019 08:45 Madhi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 09:30 Udipi India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:45 Periathullay India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 07:45 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
06 Nov 2019 10:00 Tanur India  0.1