Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
30 Oct 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 112 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (30 Oct 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 112 km/h 0.3 m 274 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

198 km/h

Up to 50 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia47,525 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 140 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
500-750 mmIndia451 
250-500 mmIndia14,362 
100-250 mmIndia1,880,851 
50-100 mmIndia5,194,660 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 544 1.9 million
- - India




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Shuwayr, Oman. This height is estimated for 30 Oct 2019 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
30 Oct 2019 18:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.3
30 Oct 2019 18:15 Duqm Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 23:45 Maghilah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 23:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 23:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 23:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Payyoli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Quilandi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Talakkolattur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Sur Masirah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Mursays Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Hiql Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Dawwah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Mahuva India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Kotada India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 As Sirab Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 19:30 Nafun Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Barambah Pakistan  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kozhikode India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Beypore India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Chaliyam India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tirurangadi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Chirakkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Valapattanam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Azhikkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Cannanore India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Edakkad India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Dharmadam India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Udipi India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Tanur India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:30 Tanniyurnagaram India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Tellicherry India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Mahe India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 23:15 Ghalat Oman  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Honavar India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Manki India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Mavalli India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Shirali India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Bhatkal India  0.2
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Madayipara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Madayi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Kannapuram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:45 Bainduru India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:45 Chittadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:45 Kundapura India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Periathullay India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kulasekharapatnam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Tiruchendur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:00 Badagara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:00 Sharkh Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Chervattur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Jafarabad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Advota India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Chaudi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Majali India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Karwar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Lakba Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Tawi Bedi Guish Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Khadra' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kayalpatnam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Nileshwar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Dharabandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Rohisa India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:45 Nalasopara India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:45 Agashi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:45 Dongri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:45 Vasai India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Qaysad Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Mangaluru India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:30 Cochin India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:30 Mattancheri India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:45 Ra's ar Ru'ays Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Kayankulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Karunagapalli India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:30 'Urf Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Mulki India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Ankola India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Gokarn India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Kumta India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Malad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Fararah Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:30 Chaughat India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:30 Talikkulam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:30 Pappinivatti India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:45 Bekal India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:15 Belekeri India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Kasaragod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Kotra Nes India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Dangarvadi India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Delvada India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Nawabandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:45 Tarapur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:45 Shirgaon India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:45 Palghar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:45 Boisar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Kumbla India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Mahim India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Porbandar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:45 Adodar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:15 Haripad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:00 Ponnani India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 20:00 Veliyangod India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Billa Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Murayjat Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Barka Oman  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:00 Manumah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 00:00 Vijayapati India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Al Qurayyah United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Adgat United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:30 Khawr Fakkan United Arab Emirates  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:00 Turavur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Pusht Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Pesabandar Iran  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Vilinjam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Puvar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Taingapatam India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:15 Kadikkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 18:00 Madgaon India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 19:45 Malan Pakistan  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Sutrapada India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Lodhwa India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 22:45 Kodinar India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Manattala India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Chavakkad India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Guruvayur India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Gorser India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 21:15 Shil India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Vijayadurg India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Devgarh India  0.1
30 Oct 2019 23:00 Pural India  0.1