Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for MAHA-19
in India
31 Oct 2019 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MAHA-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 104 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (31 Oct 20:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 104 km/h 0.3 m 173 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 198 km/h 0.4 m 801 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

198 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 97 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 112 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 126 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 115 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 130 -
- - - - - India
GREEN 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2019 06:00 428 3 million
- - - - India
Blue 2 30 Oct 2019 12:00 593 20 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 3 30 Oct 2019 18:00 274 140 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 4 31 Oct 2019 00:00 377 30 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 5 31 Oct 2019 06:00 277 530 thousand
- - - - India
Blue 6 31 Oct 2019 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 31 Oct 2019 18:00 615 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Belekeri, India. This height is estimated for 31 Oct 2019 20:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2019 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Belekeri India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Ankola India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Gokarn India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Kumta India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Honavar India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Manki India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Mavalli India  0.3
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Shirali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Bhatkal India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:15 Advota India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Karwar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:15 Madgaon India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:45 Chaudi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:45 Majali India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:30 Marmagao India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:30 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:30 Agacaim India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Bainduru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Chittadi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Kundapura India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:15 Anjuna India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Boria India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Guhagar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Jaigarh India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Terekhol India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Chopdem India  0.2
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Qaysad Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Vengurla India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:30 Udipi India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Panaji India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Mulki India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:30 Nafun Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Mangaluru India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Manjeshwaram India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
31 Oct 2019 19:15 Malvan India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Mahuva India  0.2
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Mirya India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Ratnagiri India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 18:45 As Sirab Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Filim Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Rohisa India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Jafarabad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 18:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Kumbla India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Kasaragod India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Bekal India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Dongri India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Malad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Vasai India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:15 Anjanwel India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:00 Devgarh India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:00 Pural India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:00 Achra India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Kotada India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Bankot India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Kelshi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Trikkaripur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Madayipara India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Madayi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Kannapuram India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Chirakkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Valapattanam India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Azhikkal India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Purangad India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 20:00 Purnagad India  0.1
01 Nov 2019 00:00 Agashi India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Nileshwar India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:30 Chervattur India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Vijayadurg India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Adiura India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:45 Srivardhan India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:15 Dharabandar India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:00 Mina' al Fahl Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:00 Matrah Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:00 Masqat Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:00 Al Bustan Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 21:00 Yiti Oman  0.1
31 Oct 2019 22:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.1
31 Oct 2019 18:00 Alibag India  0.1