Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	58 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (19 Feb 11:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	58 km/h	0.3 m	127 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	284

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	83	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	788,878	+
	Indonesia	680,276
	Papua New Guinea	108,508
	Australia	93
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	31,678,156	+
	Indonesia	29,629,276
	Papua New Guinea	2,044,987
	Australia	3,892

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	102	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	126	9 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	117	Few people			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	165	790 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Wyndham, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Feb 2024 11:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Feb 2024 11:15	Wyndham	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Soengaiamang	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Sabui	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Broome	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Gladstone	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Denial Bay	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Thevenard	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Ceduna	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:30	Setiroek	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Loentji	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Koealasapo	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 11:45	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 11:45	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Kollan I	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:15	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:15	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:45	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:15	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:30	Tandjoengselaka	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:00	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Okaba	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Cowell	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamelin Pool	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamelin	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:15	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Barattar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Menango	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Ok Village	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Laura Bay	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Smoky Bay	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:00	Nanga	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:45	Streaky Bay	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:00	Segintong	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Mutua	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Telowie	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:15	Batoe Porong	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:15	Kebanjar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Haslam	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Karumba	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Cape York	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:15	Umbulan Padulmanan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Kepoh	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Tukak	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Penoetoek	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Gunung	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:00	Sungsang	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Tamala	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Bapuju	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Bahaur	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Welab	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.