Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

24 Feb 2024 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	74 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (24 Feb 05:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)
Landfall	between 24 Feb 2024 06:00 - 24 Feb 2024 18:00 in Australia

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	74 km/h	0.8 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 3900 people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	65	2 thousand	No people	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	65	2 thousand	No people	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	65	2 thousand	No people	Australia
4	22 Feb 2024 00:00	93	20 thousand	No people	Australia
5	22 Feb 2024 06:00	93	10 thousand	No people	Australia
6	22 Feb 2024 12:00	93	10 thousand	No people	Australia
7	22 Feb 2024 18:00	83	10 thousand	No people	Australia
8	23 Feb 2024 00:00	83	10 thousand	No people	Australia
9	23 Feb 2024 06:00	74	10 thousand	No people	Australia
10	23 Feb 2024 12:00	74	9 thousand	No people	Australia
11	23 Feb 2024 18:00	65	4 thousand	No people	Australia
12	24 Feb 2024 00:00	65	4 thousand	No people	Australia
13	24 Feb 2024 06:00	56	4 thousand	No people	Australia

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	-15.5, 137.5
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1600 people	-15.5, 137.5
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	1600 people	-16.2, 137.1	Australia
4	22 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-16.4, 120.8
5	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-16.8, 119.4
6	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-17.6, 118.3
7	22 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-17.7, 116.4
8	23 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-18, 115.1
9	23 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-18.7, 113.8
10	23 Feb 2024 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	-18.8, 113.6
11	23 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	-19.5, 113.4
12	24 Feb 2024 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	<1000 people	-20.2, 113.3
13	24 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-22.2, 113.1
13	24 Feb 2024 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	-24.5, 113.8	Australia
13	25 Feb 2024 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	-26.6, 115	Australia

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Australia	3400 people

Provinces

Region Province	Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Western Australia	Australia	1300 people
Northern Territory	Australia	2100 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Mt. Barnett	MBN	unknown				0
Gibb River	GBV	509	Civ.	Unpaved	Yes	3000
Argyle	GYL	159	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7500
Lissadel	LLL	unknown				0
Waterloo	WLO	unknown				0
Newry	NRY	unknown				0
Humbert River	HUB	unknown				0
Victoria R. Downs	VCD	unknown				0
Daly Waters	DYW	unknown				0
Nutwood Downs	UTD	unknown				0
McArthur River Mine		40	Priv.	Paved	Yes	4900
Borroloola	BOX	16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4000

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Cape Leveque		Coral Sea Islands
Yampi Sound		Coral Sea Islands
Yampi	AUYAM	Coral Sea Islands

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Argyle	Ord River	Ord	1971

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Learmonth, Australia. This height is estimated for 24 Feb 2024 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (73 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 5 of 22 Feb 2024 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24 Feb 2024 05:00	Learmonth	Australia	0.8
	23 Feb 2024 09:00	Wickham	Australia	0.7
	23 Feb 2024 09:00	Point Samson	Australia	0.7
	23 Feb 2024 09:00	Cossack	Australia	0.7
	22 Feb 2024 13:00	Derby	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Karumba	Australia	0.5
	24 Feb 2024 03:00	Exmouth	Australia	0.5
	23 Feb 2024 11:00	East Lewis I	Australia	0.5
	23 Feb 2024 08:00	Condon	Australia	0.5
	23 Feb 2024 12:00	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.5
	23 Feb 2024 14:00	Mardie	Australia	0.5
	22 Feb 2024 10:00	Pender	Australia	0.4
	24 Feb 2024 04:00	Glenroy	Australia	0.4
	24 Feb 2024 10:00	Cardabia	Australia	0.4
	22 Feb 2024 10:00	Kollan I	Australia	0.3
	23 Feb 2024 09:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.3
	23 Feb 2024 09:00	Broome	Australia	0.3
	24 Feb 2024 09:00	Ningaloo	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.2
	23 Feb 2024 09:00	Waterbank	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.2
	23 Feb 2024 09:00	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.2
	24 Feb 2024 12:00	Warroora	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 05:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.2
	24 Feb 2024 19:00	Quobba	Australia	0.2
	24 Feb 2024 19:00	Cape Cuvier	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 05:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 01:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 19:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 02:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 23:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 01:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.1
	24 Feb 2024 06:00	Bundera Bundera	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Gove	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 16:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 01:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 01:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.1
	23 Feb 2024 10:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	23 Feb 2024 10:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 16:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:00	Seisia	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.