Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (16 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.7 m	128 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	11

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	660,913	+
	Indonesia	589,582
	Papua New Guinea	70,269
	Australia	1,060
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	16,736,549	+
	Indonesia	14,673,171
	Papua New Guinea	2,052,231
	Australia	11,146

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	297	660 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Karumba	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 17:45	Bing Bong	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 17:30	Badu	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 16:30	Weipa	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 16:30	Weipa South	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 15:30	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 15:30	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 15:45	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 14:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:45	Barattar	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 17:45	Kotad	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 17:15	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 17:15	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 17:15	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:45	Papisote	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 16:30	Welab	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Seisia	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:30	Komoran	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Gove	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:30	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:30	Selemit	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:30	Wan	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:30	Konerau	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Cape York	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 14:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Boigu	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 13:45	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Per	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 15:15	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 13:45	Birab	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Dauan	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 14:45	Agats	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 14:15	Jofar	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Toegrama	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Salebe	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Modan	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Parap	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Sanindara	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Timuka	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Mimako	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 14:45	Longar	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 14:45	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 14:45	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 14:45	Masian	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Agatebi	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Sakaoeni	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Djamboeai	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Barakan	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Sajengga	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Amar	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Uta	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:15	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Umuk	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kipia Maparpa	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Paraoka	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:15	Kangoerma	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Oud Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:00	Krei-lama	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 14:00	Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 13:45	Roefroefoea	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 13:45	Naoer	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 16:30	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Anakasi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Moegoetira	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:45	Doka	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:30	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 16:15	Diommon	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:15	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:15	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kinara	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Aoem	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:15	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kamboeriami	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Umari	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 16:15	Wadjin	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:45	Pono	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:45	Kobadangar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:45	Basada	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:45	Kobroor	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:30	Menango	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:30	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:30	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:30	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:30	Price	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:30	Port Clinton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:30	Port Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:30	Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:30	Inkerman	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Langadai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Tanam	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Aiduna	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 17:45	Kedjabi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Esperance	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Doombup	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:15	Keojabi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Sewer	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Karwai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Karaum	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Tambani	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 13:00	Senaking	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Dosi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Bapuju	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Bahaur	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 15:00	Bendjoering	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Gihirkendik	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Kokas	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:15	Ibuar	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.