Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (16 Feb 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	72 km/h	0.8 m	86 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	03

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	1,391,516	+
	Indonesia	756,870
	Papua New Guinea	633,137
	Australia	1,508
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	36,159,050	+
	Indonesia	33,450,098
	Papua New Guinea	2,696,370
	Australia	12,582

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	302	1.4 million		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2024 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Karumba	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Barattar	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Anansai	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Wendu	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 10:45	Kotad	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Badu	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Weipa	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Seisia	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 10:00	Per	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 10:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 10:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 10:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Cape York	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 10:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:30	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:30	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Boigu	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Bing Bong	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Toegrama	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Menango	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Salebe	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:15	Sanindara	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Modan	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Gove	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Agatebi	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Sakaoeni	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 10:30	Roefroefoea	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 10:30	Naoer	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Timuka	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Wyndham	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Mimako	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 10:45	Sajengga	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:15	Amar	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 10:30	East Lewis I	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 10:30	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 10:30	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Uta	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Umuk	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:00	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:00	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:00	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Sumur	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 10:15	Moegoetira	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Kipia Maparpa	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Carnarvon	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Paraoka	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 10:15	Kinara	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 10:15	Aoem	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Kamboeriami	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:30	Oud Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:30	Krei-lama	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Parap	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Running Creek	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:45	Tanam	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:00	Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:15	Broome	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:15	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Umari	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:30	Glenroy	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Derby	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:45	Tambani	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Kangoerma	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:15	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Djamboeai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Barakan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:30	Diommon	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:15	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:15	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Doka	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Aiduna	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:00	Derby	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:45	Gihirkendik	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:45	Kokas	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:45	Ibuar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Port Hedland	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Wedgefield	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Wadjin	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Kaisweri	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.