Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (19 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	61 km/h	0.3 m	101 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	298

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	506,066	+
	Indonesia	463,946
	Papua New Guinea	42,070
	Australia	49
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	19,221,425	+
	Indonesia	16,873,519
	Papua New Guinea	2,345,117
	Australia	2,787

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	102	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	126	9 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	117	Few people			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	127	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	192	510 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Wyndham, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 17:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 17:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 17:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Bing Bong	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 15:30	Whyalla	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Badu	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 14:30	Port Broughton	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 17:45	Tor	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Barattar	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 17:45	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 15:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Anansai	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Wendu	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:45	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Derby	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Seisia	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Wallaroo	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Tickera	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Running Creek	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 17:00	Cape York	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 17:15	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Dauan	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:45	Derby	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Cowell	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamelin Pool	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamelin	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Gladstone	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Numbulwar	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Jofar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Per	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Nanga	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Ok Village	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Streaky Bay	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Broome	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Warburto	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Soengaiamang	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:00	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:15	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:15	Port Hughes	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:15	Port Moonta	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:15	Moonta Bay	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:15	Moonta	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:00	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:00	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:15	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.