Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (19 Feb 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	61 km/h	0.3 m	141 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	284

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea	626,286	+
	Indonesia	543,817
	Papua New Guinea	82,468
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	22,451,594	+
	Indonesia	20,015,155
	Papua New Guinea	2,430,226
	Australia	6,212

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	102	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	126	9 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	117	Few people			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	127	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	200	630 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Tamerau, Indonesia. This height is estimated for 19 Feb 2024 23:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Barattar	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Daub	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Dumande	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Okaba	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Badu	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 19:15	Soeam	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Heits	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Bing Bong	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Boigu	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 20:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Tor	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Kladar	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Sabon	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Jow	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Seisia	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:45	Per	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:45	Amborip	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 21:30	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Gove	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 19:45	Agats	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:00	Jofar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Vasse	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Broadwater	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Busselton	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Wonnerup	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Ludlow	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Broome	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Bunbury	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Binningup	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Myalup	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Eaton	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Burragenup	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Australind	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:30	Running Creek	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Ok Village	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Dalyellup	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Picton	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 19:15	Aloszville	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Dunsborough	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Quindalup	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.