Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	47 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (17 Feb 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	47 km/h	0.4 m	126 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 17 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 17 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	706,398	+
	Indonesia	679,232
	Papua New Guinea	24,740
	Australia	2,425
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	32,592,663	+
	Indonesia	31,256,725
	Papua New Guinea	1,328,875
	Australia	7,062

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	102	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	393	710 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Alyangula, Australia. This height is estimated for 17 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 17 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Bing Bong	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Gove	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Badu	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:45	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 22:45	Boigu	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 22:45	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Seisia	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:30	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:30	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 22:15	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:45	Barattar	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:30	Sarire	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Anansai	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Wendu	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Urum	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Merauke	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Daub	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 22:15	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:45	Aloszville	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:45	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:15	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:15	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:15	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:30	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:15	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Ok Village	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Broome	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 19:15	Thangoo	Australia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.2
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Telowie	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 19:00	Per	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 19:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Whyalla	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:15	Jofar	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 00:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 21:15	Kollan I	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 19:45	Port Davis	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 22:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Parap	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 23:30	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Toegrama	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 18:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.