Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.8 m (22 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	90 km/h	0.8 m	108 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	10,113

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20 Feb 2024 18:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	21 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	21 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	21 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	21 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	22 Feb 2024 00:00	83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	22 Feb 2024 06:00	97	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	1,450,198	+
	Indonesia	1,442,671
	Papua New Guinea	6,528
	Australia	997
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	26,093,373	+
	Indonesia	25,407,594
	Papua New Guinea	681,274
	Australia	4,503

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	102	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	126	9 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	117	Few people			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	127	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	141	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	107	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	20 Feb 2024 18:00	103	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
22	21 Feb 2024 00:00	53	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	21 Feb 2024 06:00	69	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
24	21 Feb 2024 12:00	212	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	21 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	22 Feb 2024 00:00	69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	22 Feb 2024 06:00	253	1.5 million			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.8m in Port Augusta West, Australia. This height is estimated for 22 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.8
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.8
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.8
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.7
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.7
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Telowie	Australia	0.7
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.7
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.7
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.6
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.6
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Broughton	Australia	0.5
	22 Feb 2024 11:45	Tickera	Australia	0.4
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Wallaroo	Australia	0.4
	22 Feb 2024 07:45	Thangoo	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 07:45	Broome	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Warburto	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Condon	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Hughes	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Moonta	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Moonta Bay	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Moonta	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Pardoo	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 08:45	Denial Bay	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 08:45	Thevenard	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 08:45	Ceduna	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 11:45	Cowell	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 09:00	Port Hedland	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 09:00	Wedgefield	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Derby	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 06:45	Waterbank	Australia	0.3
	22 Feb 2024 11:30	East Lewis I	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 11:30	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 11:30	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:45	Kennedys Cottage	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:45	Wickham	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:45	Point Samson	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:45	Cossack	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 11:30	Port Gibbon	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 09:00	Laura Bay	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Derby	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:30	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:30	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:30	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:30	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 11:15	Aloszville	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:30	Pender	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:45	Smoky Bay	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Ok Village	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 11:00	Arno Bay	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:15	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:30	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:45	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:45	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 10:45	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 09:15	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 09:15	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:45	Haslam	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Price	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Clinton	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Wakefield	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Wakefield	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Inkerman	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Ardrossan	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 11:45	Balgowan	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 07:15	Kollan I	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Parham	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Pine Point	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Julia	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 08:30	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Prime	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Semaphore	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Grange	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Largs	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Birkenhead	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Adelaide	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Marino	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Seaton	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Halletts Cove	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Glenelg	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Kingston Park	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Brighton	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Somerton	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Seacliff	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Finsbury	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Seaview	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Oaklands	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Sturt	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Darlington	Australia	0.2
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Badu	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Saint Kilda	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Noarlunga	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Moana	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Seaford	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Noarlunga	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:45	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:45	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Normanville	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Carrickalinga	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Yankalilla	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Silver Sands	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Willunga	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Aldinga	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Sellicks Hill	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 10:45	Port Neill	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Vincent	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Red Cliffs	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:15	Streaky Bay	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Stansbury	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Seisia	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Wool Bay	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Mardie	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 10:00	Pagatan	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Victoria	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 10:00	Setiroek	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 09:00	Port Rickaby	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Rapid Bay	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Second Valley	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:15	Soengaiamang	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Point Soultar	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Point Turton	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Warooka	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Port Minlacowie	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Brentwood	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:15	Woods Well	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:15	Salt Creek	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Edithburgh	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:15	Magrath Flat	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:45	Fowlers Bay	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 09:00	Learmonth	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Kualalupak	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Aluhaluh	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Tambakkarangan	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 08:00	Bawahalajung	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Tulkineara	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 07:30	Sabui	Indonesia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Goolwa	Australia	0.1
	22 Feb 2024 06:00	Hindmarsh Island	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.