Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	76 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (20 Feb 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	76 km/h	0.4 m	94 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	02

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	76	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	1,736,233
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	33,037,295	+
	Indonesia	32,629,071
	Papua New Guinea	405,385
	Australia	2,838

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	102	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	126	9 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	117	Few people			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	127	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	141	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	107	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
20	20 Feb 2024 12:00	276	1.7 million			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Bing Bong, Australia. This height is estimated for 20 Feb 2024 15:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	20 Feb 2024 15:15	Bing Bong	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Port Augusta	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Stirling North	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 15:45	Numbulwar	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 15:45	Port Bonython	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:00	Telowie	Australia	0.4
	20 Feb 2024 16:45	Alyangula	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 14:45	Whyalla	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Barattar	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Boigu	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Badu	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 14:00	Port Broughton	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Gove	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Yirrkala	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:45	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:45	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 16:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:15	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:00	Tickera	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Wallaroo	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 16:30	Seisia	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 16:30	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:45	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:00	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:00	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Warburto	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:15	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:15	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:15	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:15	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:15	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:15	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 17:15	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:00	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:45	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Port Hughes	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Port Moonta	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Moonta Bay	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Moonta	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:30	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:00	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:00	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:15	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:15	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:15	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:00	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:00	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:00	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:00	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:15	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:15	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 14:45	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 15:45	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 13:30	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 13:30	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 13:30	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 13:30	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 13:30	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 13:45	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:15	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Cowell	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 17:45	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 17:45	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 17:45	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 17:45	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Ok Village	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 16:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Dalyellup	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Bunbury	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Binningup	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Picton	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Eaton	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Burragenup	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Australind	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 15:30	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 17:30	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Broome	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 18:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.