Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	65 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (17 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	65 km/h	0.9 m	108 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	04

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	222,219	+
	Indonesia	219,503
	Papua New Guinea	1,156
	Australia	1,559
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	19,446,233	+
	Indonesia	18,161,726
	Papua New Guinea	1,266,623
	Australia	17,883

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	286	220 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 17 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Karumba	Australia	0.9
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 22:15	Bing Bong	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 23:15	Kulinchin	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 21:30	Mapoon	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 23:15	Weipa	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 23:15	Weipa South	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 19:45	Badu	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 19:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 19:15	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Barattar	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:30	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:30	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:30	Sarire	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 22:45	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Matara	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Urum	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Merauke	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Daub	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Anansai	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Wendu	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 19:15	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 23:15	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 18:30	Alyangula	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 20:30	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Kotad	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Okaba	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:30	Papisote	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 22:45	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 21:45	Welab	Indonesia	0.5
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Gove	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 19:45	Seisia	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 19:45	Bamaga	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 19:30	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 21:45	Komoran	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 20:30	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.4
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 20:15	Selemit	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:15	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 20:15	Wan	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 20:15	Konerau	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 19:45	Cape York	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 20:15	Tor	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:15	Kladar	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:15	Sabon	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:30	Boigu	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:30	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 20:30	Soeam	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 18:30	Heits	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 18:30	Dauan	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:45	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:45	Jow	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:45	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:45	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:45	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:45	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:45	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Per	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:30	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 20:00	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 20:15	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Timuka	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Mimako	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 20:15	Soengaiamang	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Parap	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Amar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:15	Broome	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:15	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:45	Sabui	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:15	Whyalla	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Uta	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:00	Segintong	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:45	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:00	Kangoerma	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:45	Djamboeai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:45	Barakan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:15	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:15	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:15	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:15	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Doka	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Oud Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Krei-lama	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 23:45	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Pono	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Kobadangar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Basada	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Kobroor	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Umuk	Indonesia	0.1
	17 Feb 2024 00:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:45	Loentji	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:45	Koealasapo	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:15	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 23:30	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:15	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:15	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 23:30	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 23:30	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 23:30	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Kedjabi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 23:15	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 22:30	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 23:30	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Bapuju	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Bahaur	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:00	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Menango	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 20:45	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Kipia Maparpa	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 18:00	Keojabi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:45	Setiroek	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:30	Price	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:30	Port Clinton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:30	Port Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:30	Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 19:30	Inkerman	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:15	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:15	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 21:15	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.