Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (18 Feb 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	50 km/h	0.3 m	119 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	823,595	+
	Indonesia	804,813
	Papua New Guinea	17,791
	Australia	990
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	45,215,696	+
	Indonesia	42,696,778
	Papua New Guinea	2,509,916
	Australia	9,001

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	102	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	126	9 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	117	Few people			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	250	820 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Port Augusta West, Australia. This height is estimated for 18 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.3
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.3
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.3
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 21:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 21:45	Heits	Indonesia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Derby	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:00	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:00	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:00	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:00	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 21:30	Running Creek	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:30	Kollan I	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:45	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:45	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:45	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:30	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:30	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:30	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:00	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:00	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:15	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:00	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:30	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:15	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Ok Village	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 21:00	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 21:00	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 21:00	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 21:00	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 21:00	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 21:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Derby	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:15	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:15	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:30	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:15	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:45	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:15	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:00	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:00	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:00	Broome	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 21:15	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Cape York	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Parap	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Saibai	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:15	Jow	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Koba	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Perlang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Batoebeloebang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:45	Namang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 20:30	Pangkalpinang	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:00	Per	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Nanga	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:15	Moha	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:15	Marlasi	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:15	Masidan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:15	Komfane	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:15	Bendjoering	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:30	Dosi	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:30	Sewer	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:30	Karwai	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:30	Karaum	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 23:30	Keojabi	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Basada	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Kobroor	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Kedjabi	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Kangoerma	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Suakgual	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Nasik	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Petaling	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Tandjungpandan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Bahomia	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Maiwawa	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Djokdjoh	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Namasan	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Utarom	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Kaimana	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 22:30	Moearona	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 19:30	Lubuk-besar	Indonesia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Badu	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:15	Useless Loop	Australia	0.1
	18 Feb 2024 18:00	Gladstone	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.