Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	72 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (20 Feb 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
GFS Current	72 km/h	0.3 m	107 mm	0.5
GFS Overall	97 km/h	1.2 m	427 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

97 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	00	+

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	76	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	72	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	65	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	79	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia	1,981,498
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	39,808,447	+
	Indonesia	39,253,637
	Papua New Guinea	552,091
	Australia	2,718

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 18:00	147	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
2	16 Feb 2024 00:00	99	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 06:00	86	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	128	100 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	16 Feb 2024 18:00	108	-		-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 00:00	49	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	17 Feb 2024 06:00	102	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
8	17 Feb 2024 12:00	161	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
9	17 Feb 2024 18:00	126	9 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia
10	18 Feb 2024 00:00	65	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	18 Feb 2024 06:00	117	Few people			-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia
12	18 Feb 2024 12:00	110	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
13	18 Feb 2024 18:00	119	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
14	19 Feb 2024 00:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	19 Feb 2024 06:00	127	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia
16	19 Feb 2024 12:00	101	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
17	19 Feb 2024 18:00	141	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia
18	20 Feb 2024 00:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	20 Feb 2024 06:00	252	2 million			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 20 Feb 2024 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	20 Feb 2024 07:00	Karumba	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Wyndham	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Badu	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 08:15	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 08:15	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 08:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Bing Bong	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Daub	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 06:15	Mapoon	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 06:15	Weipa	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 06:15	Weipa South	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:15	Barattar	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Boigu	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 06:30	Kowanyama	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Alyangula	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 09:30	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:15	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 11:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 07:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Kotad	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 09:45	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 09:45	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 09:45	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 10:15	Okaba	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Dauan	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 10:30	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:45	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Seisia	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Dokib	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Gove	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Yirrkala	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:15	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Broughton	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Tickera	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 06:45	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Wallaroo	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Cowell	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 08:00	Salebe	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Warburto	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Broome	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 08:30	Ok Village	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 08:30	Modan	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Hughes	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Moonta	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Moonta Bay	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Moonta	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 09:30	Toegrama	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 09:30	Port Hedland	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 09:30	Wedgefield	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Port Gibbon	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.