Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (17 Oct 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

188 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 135 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 13 Oct 2018 06:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 13 Oct 2018 12:00 106 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 13 Oct 2018 18:00 91 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 14 Oct 2018 00:00 78 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 14 Oct 2018 06:00 81 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 14 Oct 2018 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 14 Oct 2018 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 15 Oct 2018 00:00 59 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 15 Oct 2018 06:00 54 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 13 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 23 13 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 24 13 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 25 14 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 26 14 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 27 14 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 28 14 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 29 15 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 30 15 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Rasman, Saudi Arabia. This height is estimated for 17 Oct 2018 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.4
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.4
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.4
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.4
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.3
17 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.3
17 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.3
17 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.3
17 Oct 2018 18:30 Wadgam India  0.3
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.3
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.3
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.3
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:30 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:45 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:45 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:45 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:45 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:45 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:45 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 17:00 Asarsa India  0.2
17 Oct 2018 17:00 Harinagar India  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.2
18 Oct 2018 03:45 Kamaran Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 03:45 Sayfaf Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 03:45 Qurayyah Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 03:45 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.2
18 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:30 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 10:30 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:45 Dahej India  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:45 Tankari India  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:45 Muler India  0.2
18 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Luyhayyah Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 04:00 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 04:45 Al Hudaydah Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 04:45 Jabanah Yemen  0.2
17 Oct 2018 22:15 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 10:00 Midi Yemen  0.2
17 Oct 2018 17:00 Ghogha India  0.2
17 Oct 2018 10:30 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.2
17 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:30 Babaiu Eritrea  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:30 Hawra Eritrea  0.2
18 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Ghulayfiqah Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:00 Debba Eritrea  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:00 Sheburur Eritrea  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:00 Abacheri Eritrea  0.2
18 Oct 2018 04:30 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 04:30 Al Fazah Yemen  0.2
18 Oct 2018 04:30 Al Butays Yemen  0.2
17 Oct 2018 16:00 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
17 Oct 2018 15:45 Idi Eritrea  0.1
17 Oct 2018 15:45 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
18 Oct 2018 04:15 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
18 Oct 2018 03:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
17 Oct 2018 16:00 Behld Eritrea  0.1
18 Oct 2018 04:15 Maushij Yemen  0.1
18 Oct 2018 04:15 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 16:15 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:15 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:15 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:45 Saylac Somalia  0.1
18 Oct 2018 04:00 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:30 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:30 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:30 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:30 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:30 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 15:00 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:30 Bhagva India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:30 Damka India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:30 Olpad India  0.1
18 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 15:30 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
17 Oct 2018 15:30 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
17 Oct 2018 15:30 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
18 Oct 2018 03:45 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
18 Oct 2018 00:45 Jalalpur India  0.1
18 Oct 2018 04:00 Alela Eritrea  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:15 Murad Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:15 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:45 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 15:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:15 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:15 Anteral Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 14:15 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
17 Oct 2018 03:00 'Imran Yemen  0.1
18 Oct 2018 00:15 Daman India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 02:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 02:45 Geeri Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 02:45 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:45 Filim Oman  0.1
18 Oct 2018 00:15 Maroli India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
17 Oct 2018 23:45 Umbargam India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:00 Tarapur India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:00 Gholvad India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:00 Malyan India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:00 Boisar India  0.1
17 Oct 2018 13:00 Sakhare India  0.1

Calculation folder at this link