Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 135 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (14 Oct 13:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 135 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen87418
+
Yemen87337 
Other countries81 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 135 -
- - - - - Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 90 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Qishn, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 13:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 13:15 Qishn Yemen  0.4
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Itab Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:45 Kambhat India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:45 Kavi India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:45 Sarod India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:45 Wadgam India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Saqr Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 10:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:15 Tabut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Saylac Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.2
13 Oct 2018 21:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 21:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Geeri Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.2
12 Oct 2018 06:00 Qadub Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 06:00 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Sharkhat Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Obock Djibouti  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Lakabi Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Qaysad Oman  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Asarsa India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Harinagar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Anteral Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Tamnum Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Murad Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Mach Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Marero Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:15 'Imran Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 'Adan Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Berbera Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:45 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 01:45 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:30 Dahej India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:30 Tankari India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:30 Muler India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Hasana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Sarar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Raida Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:45 Ghogha India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 02:00 Seyara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Buro Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Hami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Khird Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:15 As Sirab Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 20:45 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:15 Ascira Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Qandala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Juwaibiyat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Mukalla Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Burum Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Fuwwah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Zulumah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Caluula Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Boosaaso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Jarub Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Ceelaayo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Bender Siyaada Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1

Calculation folder at this link