Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 162 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Oct 21:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 162 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen211414
+
Oman152789 
Yemen58276 
Other countries349 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 162 -
- - - - - Oman, Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 210 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Rasman, Saudi Arabia. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2018 21:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2018 21:30 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 21:30 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 21:30 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 21:30 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Kambhat India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Kavi India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Sarod India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Wadgam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Tabut Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 13:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 20:15 Mughsayl Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Damqawt Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Jadib Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Jarub Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Al Faydami Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Safqut Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 21:15 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Hauf Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:45 Araft Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:45 Salalah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:45 Al Kathir Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 19:45 Sudh Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Kharfat Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Saqr Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Lakabi Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Qaysad Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 10:00 Qishn Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Lakba Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:15 Filim Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 14:15 Marbat Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 00:00 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Asarsa India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Harinagar India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Marero Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 17:30 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 23:45 Itab Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 14:30 Ascira Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:15 Sadh Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:15 Hasik Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:15 Dahej India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:15 Tankari India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:15 Muler India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:15 Ghogha India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:00 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Geeri Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:45 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Qadub Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Saylac Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:30 Fararah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Alela Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:15 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 21:15 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 05:30 Mach Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:45 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:30 Anteral Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:45 Caluula Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 05:30 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:45 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 13:30 Qandala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:00 Sharkhat Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 02:30 Obock Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 04:30 'Ag Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 15:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1

Calculation folder at this link