Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman, Yemen
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 170 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (12 Oct 18:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 170 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman, Yemen282274
+
Oman272062 
Other countries368 
Yemen9844 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 -
- - - - - Oman, Other countries, Yemen




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 280 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2018 18:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Kambhat India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Kavi India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Sarod India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:45 Wadgam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Lakabi Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Qaysad Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Araft Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Salalah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Al Kathir Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Sudh Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 05:45 Lakba Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Hasik Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Mughsayl Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Marbat Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Qishn Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Kharfat Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Taqah Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 23:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:00 Sadh Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Safqut Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Dhalqut Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Kharifut Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 13:00 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 13:00 Filim Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Hauf Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Fararah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Jadib Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 12:30 'Ag Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Damqawt Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 12:30 Tabut Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Asarsa India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Harinagar India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Miji Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:15 Ascira Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Al Faydami Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Marero Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:30 Nafun Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 17:00 Ghogha India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:45 Dahej India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:45 Tankari India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:45 Muler India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 12:00 Jarub Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 16:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Saylac Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:15 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:15 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
10 Oct 2018 20:45 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:45 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Qadub Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:30 Haswayn Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:45 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Geeri Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 10:15 Saqr Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Duqm Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Agashi India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Dongri India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Vasai India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Eyl Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Murad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Maallah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 'Adan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Botiala Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 'Imran Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Laft Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Khamir Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Pahel Iran  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Berbera Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Tuna India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Jodiya India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 11:45 Itab Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 07:45 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:45 As Sirab Oman  0.1

Calculation folder at this link