Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 78 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (16 Oct 18:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 78 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

118 km/h

Up to 20 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 14 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen17318
+
Yemen17302 
Other countries16 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 139 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 135 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 13 Oct 2018 06:00 99 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 13 Oct 2018 12:00 106 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 13 Oct 2018 18:00 91 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 14 Oct 2018 00:00 78 -
- - - - - Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 14 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 17 12 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 18 12 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 19 12 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 20 12 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 21 13 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 22 13 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 23 13 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 24 13 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 25 14 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Kambhat, India. This height is estimated for 16 Oct 2018 18:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 14 Oct 2018 00:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.2
16 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.2
16 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.2
16 Oct 2018 18:45 Wadgam India  0.2
16 Oct 2018 22:30 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
16 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
16 Oct 2018 22:30 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
16 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:30 Tabut Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 01:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.2
16 Oct 2018 22:15 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.2
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.2
16 Oct 2018 22:15 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.2
15 Oct 2018 01:45 Al Jubayl Saudi Arabia  0.2
16 Oct 2018 22:15 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.2
16 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
16 Oct 2018 17:15 Asarsa India  0.2
16 Oct 2018 17:15 Harinagar India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 00:30 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 13:00 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:15 Dahej India  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:15 Tankari India  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:15 Muler India  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:15 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 08:45 Qishn Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:15 Ghogha India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:45 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:45 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:45 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:45 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:45 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:45 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:45 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:30 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:30 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Geeri Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:30 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Qandala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:45 Botiala Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:45 Debba Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:45 Sheburur Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:45 Abacheri Eritrea  0.1
15 Oct 2018 01:15 Ghizlan Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 22:30 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:45 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:45 Idi Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:45 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 16:45 Behld Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:00 Beraisole Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 10:15 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 10:15 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 10:15 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 18:45 Babaiu Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 18:00 Hawra Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 10:15 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 10:00 Midi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 10:00 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Itab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 16:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:45 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 14:15 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 14:15 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 14:15 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 14:15 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:45 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
15 Oct 2018 13:30 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:45 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:45 Maushij Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:45 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 17:15 Anteral Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:30 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
15 Oct 2018 03:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:45 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:15 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Murad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Marero Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:45 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 18:15 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 18:00 Qurayyah Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 18:00 Sayfaf Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 15:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
16 Oct 2018 19:00 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Saqr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Boho Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.1
16 Oct 2018 17:30 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 07:30 Ascira Somalia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link