Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 166 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Oct 00:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 166 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman196423
+
Oman196129 
Other countries294 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 -
- - - - - Oman, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 200 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Sawqirah, Oman. This height is estimated for 13 Oct 2018 00:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Oct 2018 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 00:30 Qaysad Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Kambhat India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Kavi India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Sarod India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:30 Wadgam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 20:15 Lakba Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 09:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 09:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 09:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Hasik Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Fararah Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Qishn Yemen  0.2
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Miji Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 06:00 Sadh Oman  0.2
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Marbat Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 10:30 'Ag Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Taqah Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 23:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.2
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Asarsa India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Harinagar India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 07:15 Umm Said Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ascira Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Salalah Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Sudh Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Dahej India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Tankari India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Muler India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Buro Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Ghogha India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Geeri Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:30 Nafun Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:45 Filim Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 16:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Araft Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Qadub Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:30 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Obock Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Marero Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 06:45 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Dauli Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Murad Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Tabut Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 11:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 08:15 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 10:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 'Imran Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Berbera Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:30 Duqm Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Maallah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 'Adan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 22:00 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Kharfat Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Quddam Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Nalasopara India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Agashi India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Dongri India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:00 Vasai India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Anteral Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Eyl Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Maydh Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Seyara Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Laft Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:00 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
13 Oct 2018 05:30 Safqut Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Khamir Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 12:45 Pahel Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Bhagva India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Damka India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Olpad India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 20:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Mach Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 11:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 11:45 Gaalacoodday Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Hais Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 11:45 Dogerdan Iran  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Jilah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1

Calculation folder at this link