Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 170 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (08 Oct 14:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 170 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman198162
+
Oman198008 
Other countries154 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 -
- - - - - Oman, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 200 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tabut, Yemen. This height is estimated for 08 Oct 2018 14:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2018 12:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
08 Oct 2018 14:45 Tabut Yemen  0.3
08 Oct 2018 14:45 Hayrut Yemen  0.3
08 Oct 2018 14:45 Nishtun Yemen  0.3
08 Oct 2018 16:15 Bargaal Somalia  0.3
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.3
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.3
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.3
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.3
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Beylu Eritrea  0.3
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Mursays Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Dawwah Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Lakabi Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:30 Qaysad Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 08:00 Kambhat India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 08:00 Kavi India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 08:00 Sarod India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Wadgam India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 22:00 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 12:15 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 12:15 Eyl Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 12:15 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 07:15 Boho Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 07:15 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 07:15 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 16:45 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 16:45 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 04:15 Qishn Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 15:45 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 15:45 Filim Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Qadub Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 12:30 Ascira Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 00:00 Kotada India  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
11 Oct 2018 03:00 Duqm Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Behld Eritrea  0.2
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Beraisole Eritrea  0.2
08 Oct 2018 17:15 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 17:15 Karwar India  0.2
09 Oct 2018 06:00 Marero Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 06:00 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 06:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:30 'Ag Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Tarapur India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Gholvad India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Malyan India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Boisar India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Sakhare India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.2
10 Oct 2018 05:15 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 17:45 Karmu Eritrea  0.2
08 Oct 2018 17:45 Idi Eritrea  0.2
08 Oct 2018 17:45 Halaba Eritrea  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 14:15 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 14:15 Al Fazah Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 05:45 Asarsa India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 05:45 Harinagar India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
08 Oct 2018 17:00 Belekeri India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 17:00 Ankola India  0.2
08 Oct 2018 17:00 Gokarn India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
09 Oct 2018 04:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Dahej India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:30 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:30 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 05:00 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 05:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
09 Oct 2018 16:00 Tuna India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 16:00 Jodiya India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:45 Nafun Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:00 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:30 Babaiu Eritrea  0.1
10 Oct 2018 05:45 Tankari India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 05:45 Muler India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:45 Ghogha India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:15 Majali India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:30 Advota India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:30 Chaudi India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 16:15 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:45 Debba Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:45 Sheburur Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:45 Abacheri Eritrea  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:15 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Palghar India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Mahim India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Nalasopara India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Agashi India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Vasai India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Navghar India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:00 As Suwayq Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Mudayq Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Masnaah Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Bu 'Abali Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Abu 'Abali Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:00 Suwadi al Batsa' Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 21:45 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Pahel Iran  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Bandar-e Laft Iran  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Laft Iran  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Payi Pusht Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:30 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:15 Maushij Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:15 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:00 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:00 Geeri Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:30 Mahuva India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
09 Oct 2018 06:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 06:15 As Sirab Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 16:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Bandar-e Dargaham Iran  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:15 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:15 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:15 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Al Hudaydah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Jabanah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:45 Barambah Pakistan  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 16:30 Jambura India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:15 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:15 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:15 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:15 Isa Pakistan  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:15 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:15 Arzeni Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:15 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:15 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Dangarvadi India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Delvada India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Nawabandar India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:30 Dongri India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:45 Mach Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:45 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:45 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:15 Bhagva India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:15 Damka India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:15 Olpad India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:45 Midi Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:45 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:45 Ceelxarar Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:30 Hawra Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Obock Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:15 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:15 Sayfaf Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:15 Qurayyah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:15 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:45 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:30 Khamir Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
08 Oct 2018 12:00 Quddam Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 12:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:15 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 16:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:15 Al Jubayl Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
08 Oct 2018 12:30 Miji Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 12:45 Ceel Dhahanaan Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:00 Ghizlan Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 14:30 Balaru Pakistan  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Dharabandar India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:15 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:00 Suthri India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:30 Jalalpur India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Akara Pakistan  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:15 Gwadar Pakistan  0.1
08 Oct 2018 17:00 Al Ghulayfiqah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Ghalat Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:30 Hormoz Iran  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:00 Rohisa India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:00 Jafarabad India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:00 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 08:45 Ank Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 08:45 Sayhat Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 08:45 Najmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 08:45 Tarut Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:00 Sharkh Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Porbandar India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Adodar India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:45 Alela Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 16:45 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:00 Al 'Adamah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:00 Ad Dammam Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 09:00 Ar Rakah Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 04:30 Ratia India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 04:30 Gorser India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 15:30 Shirgaon India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 12:15 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 13:45 Jaigarh India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Malad India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 12:15 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Mumbai India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Asumumbay India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:15 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:30 Chahu Shomali Iran  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:30 Bandar-e Guran Iran  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:30 Salagh Iran  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:30 Tabl Iran  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:15 Murad Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 12:15 Sala Gon Somalia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link