Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Yemen,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 133 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (14 Oct 06:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 133 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormYemen81149
+
Yemen81004 
Other countries145 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 176 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 165 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 162 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 147 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 133 -
- - - - - Yemen, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 80 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 9 10 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 10 10 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 11 10 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 12 10 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 13 11 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 14 11 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 15 11 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 16 11 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Tabut, Yemen. This height is estimated for 14 Oct 2018 06:15 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 11 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Tabut Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Hayrut Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 06:15 Nishtun Yemen  0.3
14 Oct 2018 18:00 Kambhat India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:00 Kavi India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:00 Sarod India  0.2
14 Oct 2018 18:00 Wadgam India  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
13 Oct 2018 16:00 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 05:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Haswayn Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Qishn Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:45 Abd Allah Gharib Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:45 Jarub Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 05:45 Al Faydami Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
14 Oct 2018 02:30 Harag Jid Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Sawqirah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Lakabi Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Qaysad Oman  0.2
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Saqr Yemen  0.2
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 11:15 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 00:00 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Itab Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Asarsa India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Harinagar India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 05:00 Al Fatk Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Damqawt Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Dahej India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Tankari India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:15 Muler India  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Jadib Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 17:30 Ghogha India  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Qadub Yemen  0.1
13 Oct 2018 03:45 Hadiboh Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 04:30 Al Qumrah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Hauf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:45 Saylac Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Dhalqut Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Lakba Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Obock Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Al Kharifut Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Safqut Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Geeri Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Anteral Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Kharfat Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 01:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Murad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:30 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 04:15 Mach Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Sharkhat Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:00 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Aantaara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:15 Buro Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:30 Duqm Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Quddam Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Tamnum Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 13:30 'Imran Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:30 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Jilah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Berbera Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Musaina'a Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 12:00 Ascira Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Sarar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Raida Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Hasana Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Qusayir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Dhafghan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Maallah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:30 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Hais Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:30 Maydh Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Al Mukha Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 00:45 Araft Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:15 'Adan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Marero Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:45 Bacaad Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Hami Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 03:45 Yakhtul Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Balhaf Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Mabrak Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Hisn Bal'id Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Khird Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Hanad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al 'Aws Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Seyara Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Shaikh Ahmad Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Irqah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Qandala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Botiala Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Ash Shihr Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Bi'r Qa'ati Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Muqaibirah Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Salalah Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 02:00 Sudh Oman  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
13 Oct 2018 16:45 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 As Sufal Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Al Hawrah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 'Ag Somalia  0.1
14 Oct 2018 15:00 Al-Raiyan Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:30 Al Haibala Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 14:45 Bir Ali Yemen  0.1
14 Oct 2018 10:45 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link