Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 188 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (09 Oct 09:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 188 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman40764
+
Oman40698 
Other countries66 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 -
- - - - - Oman, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 40 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Bargaal, Somalia. This height is estimated for 09 Oct 2018 09:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 08 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Oct 2018 09:30 Bargaal Somalia  0.3
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Beylu Eritrea  0.3
11 Oct 2018 18:00 Sawqirah Oman  0.3
11 Oct 2018 18:00 Lakabi Oman  0.3
11 Oct 2018 18:00 Qaysad Oman  0.3
11 Oct 2018 18:00 Lakba Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 22:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 22:00 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 04:15 Qishn Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Qashlu Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Qadub Yemen  0.2
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Kambhat India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Kavi India  0.2
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Sarod India  0.2
09 Oct 2018 09:15 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 09:15 Eyl Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 09:15 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Wadgam India  0.2
09 Oct 2018 00:00 Kotada India  0.2
09 Oct 2018 05:15 Al Khaluf Oman  0.2
09 Oct 2018 05:15 Filim Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Behld Eritrea  0.2
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Beraisole Eritrea  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:00 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Boho Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 11:45 Shuwayr Oman  0.2
09 Oct 2018 11:45 Duqm Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:30 'Ag Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 06:00 Marero Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 06:00 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 06:00 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Djibouti Djibouti  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Loyado Djibouti  0.2
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Mursays Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Dawwah Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Dafiyat Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Dhuwwah Oman  0.2
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Shiinzi Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 15:45 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.2
10 Oct 2018 15:45 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.2
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.2
10 Oct 2018 05:15 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.2
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 01:45 Tabut Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:45 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:45 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:00 Karmu Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:00 Idi Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:00 Halaba Eritrea  0.1
11 Oct 2018 17:15 Miji Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:45 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 14:45 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Dahej India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 04:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 14:45 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Khawkhah Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:15 Maushij Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:15 Jirdan Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:45 Ghogha India  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 06:30 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 17:15 Fararah Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 16:45 Abu Dhabi United Arab Emirates  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:45 Mahuva India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:00 Xaafuun Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:00 Debba Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:00 Sheburur Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:00 Abacheri Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Jazirah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:30 Al 'Urj Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Denouda Digdiglei Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Palghar India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Mahim India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Nalasopara India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Agashi India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Vasai India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Navghar India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Sair Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Khatib Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Haima Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Fugwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Bu Tawq Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Sajid Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:30 Zahr United Arab Emirates  0.1
09 Oct 2018 06:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Butays Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 16:00 Tuna India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 16:00 Jodiya India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 16:15 Kathiwadar Bandar India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 15:15 Sadh Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:30 Dasah United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 05:00 Ar Ruways United Arab Emirates  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:00 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Farasan Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:15 Humr Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 10:45 Al Ashkharah Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 10:45 Al Jumaylah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 17:45 Hasik Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
09 Oct 2018 08:00 Ascira Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:30 Al Hudaydah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:30 Jabanah Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 18:00 Asarsa India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 18:00 Harinagar India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:45 Midi Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:45 Al Kharamilah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:00 Markaz ash Shurtah Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Babaiu Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Jizan Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 12:30 As Sirab Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 01:15 Al Fazah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Tankari India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 20:15 Muler India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Al Karbus Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:30 Hawra Eritrea  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Kamaran Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Sayfaf Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Qurayyah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Ibn Abbas Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Dangarvadi India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Delvada India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Nawabandar India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:00 Obock Djibouti  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Al Madaya Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Mansiyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:15 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:00 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:00 Geeri Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Marbat Oman  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:30 Qawz al Ja'afirah Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:00 Al Birk Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:00 Karwar India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:45 Dongri India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:00 Nahud Saudi Arabia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:00 Buyut al Muhamirah Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:30 Damka India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 04:00 Cadayo Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Bhagva India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:15 Olpad India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:00 Hormoz Iran  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:45 Jambura India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:45 Eddi Gellei Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:45 Bandarbeyla Somalia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Quddam Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 19:30 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:00 Suthri India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:15 Al Qahmah Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 22:15 Musaykah Saudi Arabia  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:00 Advota India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:00 Chaudi India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 23:00 Majali India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 02:00 Al Ghulayfiqah Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 Al Madasikah Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:00 Nafun Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 23:45 Al Jubayl Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Malad India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Mumbai India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 12:15 Asumumbay India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:15 Dharabandar India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 10:30 Ras Muari Pakistan  0.1
09 Oct 2018 10:30 Goth Haji Muhammad Pakistan  0.1
09 Oct 2018 10:30 Isa Pakistan  0.1
09 Oct 2018 10:30 Goth Lashkari Pakistan  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
08 Oct 2018 18:45 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:00 Gokarn India  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:45 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 16:30 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 23:00 Ghuar Mota India  0.1
08 Oct 2018 21:30 Al Khawbah Yemen  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:45 Anteral Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:45 Hajambar Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 00:30 'Arid Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 15:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1

Calculation folder at this link