Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LUBAN-18
in Yemen

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LUBAN-18 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Oman,
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 184 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (12 Oct 17:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Yemen)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 184 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 0.5
GFS Overall 118 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormOman55167
+
Oman55095 
Other countries72 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 149 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 188 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 170 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 186 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 184 -
- - - - - Oman, Other countries




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

-1 mm

Up to 60 thousand can be affected rain lower than 100mm





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 08 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 5 09 Oct 2018 00:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 6 09 Oct 2018 06:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Oct 2018 12:00 - - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Oct 2018 18:00 - - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Sawqirah, Oman. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2018 17:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Oct 2018 18:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Sawqirah Oman  0.3
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Lakabi Oman  0.3
12 Oct 2018 17:30 Qaysad Oman  0.3
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Lakba Oman  0.3
10 Oct 2018 01:00 Boho Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 01:00 Wareegsimo Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 01:00 Bereeda Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:00 Kambhat India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:00 Kavi India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:00 Sarod India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 18:00 Wadgam India  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Miji Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Fararah Oman  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Hasik Oman  0.2
09 Oct 2018 23:15 Qishn Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Sadh Oman  0.2
10 Oct 2018 05:15 Tooxin Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Marero Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Bacaad Somalia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Aantaara Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 07:15 Umm Said Qatar  0.2
09 Oct 2018 18:15 Bandar Jedid Somalia  0.2
09 Oct 2018 23:45 Qadub Yemen  0.2
09 Oct 2018 23:45 Hadiboh Yemen  0.2
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Mulaax Beyle Somalia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Rasman Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Qunfidhah Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Makasir Saudi Arabia  0.2
10 Oct 2018 21:00 Al Qa' Saudi Arabia  0.2
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Marbat Oman  0.2
09 Oct 2018 23:30 Ascira Somalia  0.2
11 Oct 2018 06:45 Al Wakrah Qatar  0.1
10 Oct 2018 21:15 Hundegal Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:30 Al Khaluf Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:30 Filim Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Harag Jid Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 02:30 Tabut Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 02:30 Hayrut Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 02:30 Nishtun Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Djibouti Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:45 Loyado Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Bargaal Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Khor Angar Djibouti  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:00 As Sirab Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:15 Baarbacadle Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:15 Eyl Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:15 Daga Laha Uein Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Tadjoura Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Fagal Djibouti  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Asarsa India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Harinagar India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Takhushih Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Saylac Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Buro Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Taqah Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Ra's Munaysif Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Aziziyah Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Khubar Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:30 Shuwayr Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:30 Duqm Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 00:00 Deh-Cabo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Lughaye Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Carmaale Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Hadeytacawl Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Sabawanaag Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:00 Mursays Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:00 Dawwah Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:00 Dafiyat Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:00 Dhuwwah Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:00 Shiinzi Oman  0.1
10 Oct 2018 19:15 Dahej India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Obock Djibouti  0.1
10 Oct 2018 17:45 Jazirah United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 17:45 Tarif United Arab Emirates  0.1
10 Oct 2018 17:45 Bu Lifiyat United Arab Emirates  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:00 Laasqoray Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:15 Rehayto Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Al Hajaf Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Al Bahiyah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:00 Quwayrah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Tankari India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:00 Muler India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:30 Beylu Eritrea  0.1
09 Oct 2018 18:45 Ceelbacduur Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 16:15 Ghogha India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Bullaxaar Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Geeri Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Ari Adeso Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:30 Mahuva India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:30 Bola Cohuan Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 01:30 Kotada India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 14:30 Shaqra Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Madinat ash Shab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 'Imran Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:30 Muhammad 'Ali Bin Fatha Sumana Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Qa'wa Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 13:45 Hurdiyo Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Murad Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:00 As Salwa Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:45 Madgaon India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:45 Advota India  0.1
09 Oct 2018 22:45 Chaudi India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Biyafoge Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Sheikh Ali Idris Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Mayyun Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Ghadir Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Maallah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Salalah Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Kathir Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Sudh Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:30 Khormaksar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Berbera Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Batalaale Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Alela Eritrea  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:30 Aseb Eritrea  0.1
10 Oct 2018 03:30 Nafun Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Al Mansuri Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Kraytar Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 'Adan Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Anteral Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 11:00 Hubaris Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Umm Bab Qatar  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Al Qurayyah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:15 Badi Jamrah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Qasasil Qatar  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Al Uqayr Saudi Arabia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:15 Gokarn India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:15 Araft Oman  0.1
09 Oct 2018 20:00 Qashlu Yemen  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:45 Az Zallaq Bahrain  0.1
12 Oct 2018 04:00 Dhubab Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Ankhor Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:30 Dagah Gudud Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Cal Marthal Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 07:45 Dauli Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ar Rumaythah Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Ad Dur Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 18:30 Jaww Bahrain  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Dukhan Qatar  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Aiesloho Somalia  0.1
11 Oct 2018 02:00 Mach Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:00 Maydh Somalia  0.1
09 Oct 2018 19:00 Suthri India  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:15 Seyara Somalia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 03:45 Quddam Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 'Ain Ba Ma'bad Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 'Ain al-Juwairi Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Jilah Yemen  0.1
12 Oct 2018 15:45 Mughsayl Oman  0.1
12 Oct 2018 02:45 Hais Somalia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Fanatir Saudi Arabia  0.1
10 Oct 2018 15:30 Al Jubayl Industrial City Saudi Arabia  0.1
12 Oct 2018 13:15 Balhaf Yemen  0.1

Calculation folder at this link