Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	47 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (19 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	47 km/h	0.3 m	132 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	1.3 m	727 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	444

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Feb 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	18 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	18 Feb 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	19 Feb 2024 00:00	79	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	145,460	+
	Indonesia	121,749
	Papua New Guinea	19,279
	Australia	4,430
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	14,469,171	+
	Indonesia	12,931,797
	Papua New Guinea	1,514,047
	Australia	23,326

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	209	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	17 Feb 2024 00:00	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 12:00	135	9 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
7	18 Feb 2024 00:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia
8	18 Feb 2024 12:00	235	Few people		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
9	19 Feb 2024 00:00	374	150 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Bing Bong, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Bing Bong	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Daub	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 09:30	Barattar	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Numbulwar	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 11:45	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 11:45	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 11:45	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 10:30	Wyndham	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 00:45	Derby	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Boigu	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Badu	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Karumba	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:30	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 01:00	Derby	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 10:30	Mapoon	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 10:15	Kowanyama	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:30	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:15	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Dokib	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 06:45	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Seisia	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:45	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Gladstone	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:30	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:30	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:30	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:30	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:30	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 08:30	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Parap	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:15	Running Creek	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 06:30	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:45	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:00	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Gove	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:00	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 01:15	Ok Village	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Hamelin Pool	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 09:00	Hamelin	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:30	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:30	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:30	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:30	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 07:30	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 05:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Brassan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Muntjar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:00	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:00	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:45	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:45	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:45	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:45	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:45	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:45	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:15	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 05:00	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 05:00	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 05:00	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:15	Soeam	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:45	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Port Augusta	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Stirling North	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Nanga	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:45	Langadai	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:00	Toegrama	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 00:15	Soengaiamang	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 05:30	Broome	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 05:30	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Vasse	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Broadwater	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Busselton	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Wonnerup	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 02:45	Ludlow	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 04:30	Senaking	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:45	Tamala	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 08:15	Carrarang	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 11:30	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 10:45	Sanindara	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.