Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.9 m (16 Feb 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	61 km/h	0.9 m	140 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	1.3 m	727 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
	2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	717,972	+
	Indonesia	623,321
	Papua New Guinea	90,491
	Australia	4,160
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	16,432,296	+
	Indonesia	15,593,740
	Papua New Guinea	793,956
	Australia	44,599

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	209	-		-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
	2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	260	720 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.9 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.9m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Karumba	Australia	0.9
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Kowanyama	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Weipa	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.6
	15 Feb 2024 20:30	Alyangula	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Barattar	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Badu	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Bing Bong	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.5
	15 Feb 2024 19:30	Numbulwar	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Dumande	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 19:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 19:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 19:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 23:15	Okaba	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 23:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 23:45	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.4
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Selemit	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Seisia	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Cape York	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Gove	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 16:30	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 23:45	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 14:00	Soeam	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 17:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 23:15	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:45	Per	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:45	Amborip	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:45	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:45	Jow	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 13:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 13:45	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 20:15	Longar	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 20:15	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 20:15	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 14:15	Menango	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 14:15	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 14:15	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 14:15	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 23:45	Timuka	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Parap	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 23:15	Mimako	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 20:15	Krai	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Denison	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Denison	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	North Beach	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	North Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Scarborough	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Mosman Park	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Cottesloe	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	East Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Coogee	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Peppermint Grove	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Swanbourne	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Claremont	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Spearwood	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Bicton	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:15	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:15	Sumur	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Yanchep	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Quinns Rock	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Mullalloo Beach	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 23:15	Amar	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 21:00	Doka	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 21:00	Oud Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 21:00	Krei-lama	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 23:15	Uta	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 14:30	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 14:15	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:30	Diommon	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Boigu	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 23:15	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 14:45	Djamboeai	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 14:45	Barakan	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:30	Wadjin	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Umuk	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 13:30	Vasse	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 13:30	Broadwater	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 13:30	Busselton	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 13:30	Wonnerup	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 13:30	Ludlow	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:00	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 23:30	Kipia Maparpa	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:15	Kangoerma	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:30	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:30	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:30	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 23:45	Paraoka	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:30	Carnarvon	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Two Rocks	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Derby	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:30	Geraldton	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:30	Drummond Cove	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:30	Popes Landing	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:30	Waggrakine	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Fatudjuring	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Workai	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Manoembai	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Selimar	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Kobraoer	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Beding Warlai	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:00	Ngaibor	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:15	Wyndham	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:45	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 19:00	Toegrama	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:15	Broome	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 18:15	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 13:00	Lancelin	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 13:00	Seabird	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 15:15	Horrocks	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.