Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	58 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (20 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	58 km/h	0.3 m	103 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	1.3 m	727 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Feb 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	18 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	18 Feb 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	19 Feb 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	19 Feb 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
11	20 Feb 2024 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	283,457	+
	Indonesia	127,785
	Papua New Guinea	155,316
	Australia	355
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	5,022,994	+
	Indonesia	3,513,485
	Papua New Guinea	1,498,116
	Australia	11,391

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	209	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	17 Feb 2024 00:00	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 12:00	135	9 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
7	18 Feb 2024 00:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia
8	18 Feb 2024 12:00	235	Few people		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
9	19 Feb 2024 00:00	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea
10	19 Feb 2024 12:00	227	-	-	-	-	-	-	Australia
11	20 Feb 2024 00:00	237	280 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Port Augusta West, Australia. This height is estimated for 20 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 20 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Augusta	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Stirling North	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 05:15	Numbulwar	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 03:45	Bing Bong	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Alyangula	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Bonython	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Germein	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Telowie	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Whyalla	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 08:15	Wyndham	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Pirie	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Solomontown	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Karumba	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 02:45	Badu	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:30	Mapoon	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 02:30	Kowanyama	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 02:30	Hammond I	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 02:30	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:30	Kulinchin	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Barattar	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:30	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:30	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 02:15	Weipa	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 02:15	Weipa South	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Daub	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 02:30	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:15	Port Broughton	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 05:15	Boigu	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 05:15	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 04:30	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Gove	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Yirrkala	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 01:15	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:30	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:30	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:30	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:30	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:30	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:45	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:45	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:45	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:45	Dokib	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 02:45	Seisia	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 02:45	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:15	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 03:00	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:15	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:15	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:15	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:15	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:45	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:15	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:15	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:45	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Tickera	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:00	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:30	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:30	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:15	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:15	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 09:15	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 08:15	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:15	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Broome	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:45	Thangoo	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:30	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:30	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 10:30	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:30	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 07:30	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 05:45	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 05:45	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 05:45	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 05:45	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 05:45	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Parap	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Wallaroo	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:30	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 11:45	Ok Village	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Warburto	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Hughes	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Moonta	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Moonta Bay	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Moonta	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 11:15	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Cowell	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 01:00	Derby	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 01:00	Vasse	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 01:00	Broadwater	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 01:00	Busselton	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 01:00	Wonnerup	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 01:00	Ludlow	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Point Soultar	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Point Turton	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Warooka	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Minlacowie	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Brentwood	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 03:15	Brassan	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 03:15	Muntjar	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 03:15	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 03:15	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 03:15	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 03:15	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 03:15	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Price	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Port Clinton	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Port Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:30	Inkerman	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Red Cliffs	Australia	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 12:00	Balgowan	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.