Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	54 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.5 m (15 Feb 12:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	54 km/h	0.5 m	209 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	1.3 m	727 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	Australia	00	+
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	424,258	+
	Indonesia	329,015
	Papua New Guinea	88,887
	Australia	6,355
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	42,227,981	+
	Indonesia	41,733,338
	Papua New Guinea	461,988
	Australia	32,654

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	416	420 thousand			-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.5m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 15 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 15 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Karumba	Australia	0.5
	15 Feb 2024 10:45	Soeam	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 10:45	Heits	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 09:45	Kowanyama	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 10:30	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 10:30	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 10:30	Port Augusta	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 10:30	Stirling North	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 09:15	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Hammond I	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 04:30	Yanchep	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 04:30	Quinns Rock	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 04:30	Mullalloo Beach	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 04:30	North Beach	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Per	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Amborip	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Badu	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 04:00	Lancelin	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 04:00	Seabird	Australia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.3
	15 Feb 2024 11:45	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Sarire	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 04:15	Guilderton	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 04:15	Two Rocks	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 06:15	Gregory	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 06:15	Lynton	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 06:15	Horrocks	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:45	Barattar	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	North Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Scarborough	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Mosman Park	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Cottesloe	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	East Fremantle	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Peppermint Grove	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Swanbourne	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Claremont	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Bicton	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 04:45	Coogee	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 04:45	Spearwood	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Weipa	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Anansai	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Wendu	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:45	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:30	Falcon	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:30	Mandurah	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:30	Peelhurst	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:30	Singleton	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:30	Karnup	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:45	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:30	Denison	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:30	Port Denison	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:00	Safety Bay	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:00	Rockingham	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:00	Warnbro	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:00	Wattleup	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:30	Port Bonython	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 02:15	Dongara	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:00	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Port Germein	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Telowie	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:30	Green Head	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:30	Leeman	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:30	Coolimba	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Menango	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Tandjungkarang	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Telukbetung	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Tarahan	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 02:00	Greenough	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 02:15	Drummond Cove	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 02:15	Popes Landing	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 02:15	Waggrakine	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 02:15	Geraldton	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:15	East Lewis I	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:15	Dampier	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 08:15	Karratha	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:30	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:30	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:30	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:45	Glenroy	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 09:30	Port Pirie	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 09:30	Solomontown	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 06:00	Kalbarri	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Vasse	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Broadwater	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Busselton	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Wonnerup	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Ludlow	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Seisia	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:15	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Kekatang	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:00	Port Davis	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Numbulwar	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 11:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Wamal	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:45	Timuka	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 03:45	Jurien	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 03:45	Cervantes	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 09:45	Port Hedland	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 09:45	Wedgefield	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:45	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 01:45	Illawong	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Gelib	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Maringgai	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:45	Mimako	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 10:30	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 09:45	Whyalla	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 03:15	Carnarvon	Australia	0.2
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Tjikawung	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Sumur	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 02:15	Warroora	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:30	Ah Chong I	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:45	Bunbury	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:45	Binningup	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:45	Myalup	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:45	Eaton	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:45	Burragenup	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:45	Australind	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Brassan	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Muntjar	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:45	Amar	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Dalyellup	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Aerdjeruk	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Babakancibeber	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:45	Picton	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 02:00	Tamala	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:30	Onslow	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:45	Uta	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:15	Dunsborough	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:15	Quindalup	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 09:00	Dirk Hartog	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:30	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 05:15	Tjiteureup	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 05:15	Labuhan	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 05:15	Kaduperasi	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:00	Kiluan	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Parap	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Darwin	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Bagot	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 04:30	Mardie	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Umuk	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	The Palms	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 09:00	Wickham	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 09:00	Point Samson	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 09:00	Cossack	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 02:00	Carrarang	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 05:45	Kollan I	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 05:00	Kolitjaah	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Kipia Maparpa	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Derby	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:30	Cape Cuvier	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 07:45	Quobba	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 10:15	Paraoka	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:30	Broome	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 06:30	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 08:45	Chilachap	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 08:45	Adipala	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 05:15	Anjer-Kidu	Indonesia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 02:30	Minjilang	Australia	0.1
	15 Feb 2024 12:00	Boigu	Australia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.