Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	1.3 m (16 Feb 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	61 km/h	1.3 m	114 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	1.3 m	727 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

68 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	150,717	+
	Indonesia	54,807
	Papua New Guinea	92,232
	Australia	3,677
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	20,877,524	+
	Indonesia	20,297,653
	Papua New Guinea	548,782
	Australia	31,088

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	209	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	250	150 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

1.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 1.3m in Karumba, Australia. This height is estimated for 16 Feb 2024 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 16 Feb 2024 00:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Karumba	Australia	1.3
	16 Feb 2024 06:15	Kowanyama	Australia	0.9
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Bing Bong	Australia	0.9
	16 Feb 2024 07:15	Kulinchin	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Weipa	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Weipa South	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Alyangula	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 07:45	Mapoon	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Numbulwar	Australia	0.8
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Badu	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 11:15	Hammond I	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 11:00	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Gove	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 11:15	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.7
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Barattar	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 07:15	Sarire	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 07:15	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Kotad	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Dumande	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Anansai	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Matara	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Urum	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Merauke	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Daub	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:45	Wendu	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:15	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:15	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:15	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:00	Okaba	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:00	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.6
	16 Feb 2024 05:00	Welab	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Papisote	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Seisia	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 11:45	Bamaga	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 04:00	Dokib	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Wamal	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Gelib	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 04:15	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 05:30	Soeam	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 04:30	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 03:15	Komoran	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Cape York	Australia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 05:00	Heits	Indonesia	0.5
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Boigu	Australia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Kladar	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Sabon	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Tor	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Selemit	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Wan	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Konerau	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 03:45	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.4
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Dauan	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Saibai	Australia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 03:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 03:00	Jow	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 03:00	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 03:45	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 03:15	Per	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 03:15	Amborip	Indonesia	0.3
	16 Feb 2024 03:00	Agats	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 03:00	Jofar	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Ok Village	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Amamapare	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Ndapurutiri	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Parap	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:15	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Timuka	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 07:45	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Keawkwa	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Mimako	Indonesia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:00	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:00	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:00	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:00	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Aloszville	Australia	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Ipirawea	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Brassan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Muntjar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Blimbing	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Dadapan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Banjuwangi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Penginoeman	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Belimbingsari	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:45	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:15	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Amar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:30	Koba	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:30	Perlang	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 11:30	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Uta	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:45	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:45	Djamboeai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:45	Barakan	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:45	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:45	Kangoerma	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Wakia	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Umuk	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:45	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 12:00	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:30	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:30	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 05:30	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 06:45	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:00	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:30	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:15	Port Augusta West	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:15	Port Augusta	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 07:15	Stirling North	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Kipia Maparpa	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 00:00	Paraoka	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Kepoh	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Tukak	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Penoetoek	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 09:15	Gunung	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:15	Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Price	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Port Clinton	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Port Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Wakefield	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 01:15	Inkerman	Australia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 08:00	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 10:00	Batoebeloebang	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 10:00	Namang	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Doka	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Oud Krai	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Krei-lama	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Basada	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Kobroor	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:30	Kedjabi	Indonesia	0.1
	16 Feb 2024 02:00	Keojabi	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.