Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for LINCOLN-24 in Australia from 15 Feb 2024 18:00 UTC to 24 Feb 2024 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for LINCOLN-24

in Australia

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LINCOLN-24 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	ECMWF
Exposed countries	Australia
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	50 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.3 m (19 Feb 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
ECMWF Current	50 km/h	0.3 m	227 mm	0.5
ECMWF Overall	68 km/h	1.3 m	727 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind

68 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Australia	10

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	61	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
5	17 Feb 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
6	17 Feb 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	18 Feb 2024 00:00	54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
8	18 Feb 2024 12:00	50	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
9	19 Feb 2024 00:00	47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
10	19 Feb 2024 12:00	68	-		-	-	-	-	-	Australia

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	50,298	+
	Indonesia	32,696
	Papua New Guinea	17,516
	Australia	85
50-100 mm	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia	5,141,426	+
	Indonesia	3,519,515
	Papua New Guinea	1,599,313
	Australia	22,597

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
1	15 Feb 2024 00:00	209	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
2	15 Feb 2024 12:00	140	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
3	16 Feb 2024 00:00	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
4	16 Feb 2024 12:00	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
5	17 Feb 2024 00:00	92	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
6	17 Feb 2024 12:00	135	9 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Australia
7	18 Feb 2024 00:00	131	-	-	-	-	-	-	Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Australia
8	18 Feb 2024 12:00	235	Few people		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia
9	19 Feb 2024 00:00	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea
10	19 Feb 2024 12:00	325	50 thousand		-	-	-	-	Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia

Impact estimation for the next 72h

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StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Bing Bong, Australia. This height is estimated for 19 Feb 2024 13:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 19 Feb 2024 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	19 Feb 2024 13:45	Bing Bong	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:00	Kondomiraf	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 20:00	Barattar	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 19:15	Tamerau	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Karumba	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Tamarike	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:00	Jara	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Bula	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Sarire	Indonesia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Badu	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 15:15	Numbulwar	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Mari	Papua New Guinea	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Matara	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Urum	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Merauke	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Daub	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 18:30	Anansai	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 18:30	Wendu	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Weipa	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Weipa South	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 19:00	Kumbe	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 17:45	Alyangula	Australia	0.3
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Mapoon	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 22:15	Hammond I	Australia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Kandala Jawal	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Wamal	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Gelib	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Dokib	Indonesia	0.3
	19 Feb 2024 20:15	Kowanyama	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Onggalie	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:45	Dodalim	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:45	Yulbabuti	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:15	Port Kennedy	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Kotad	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Dumande	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 21:30	Moegaigare	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 21:30	Alakoe	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 21:30	Alatepi	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Kulinchin	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Okaba	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 20:00	Papisote	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Welab	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Kobiem	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Caburinga Village	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:30	Cowel Creek	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 14:15	Boigu	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 14:15	Bugi	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 14:15	Tais	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Komoran	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Gove	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Yirrkala Mission	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Yirrkala	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:15	Soeam	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:30	Heits	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Pasirputih	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 21:45	Nhulunbuy	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Seisia	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 22:45	Bamaga	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Wan	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Konerau	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Selemit	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 14:45	Dauan	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Cape York	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 15:15	Sidabadu	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 15:15	Saibai	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 15:15	Hamlet of Togo	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 15:15	Mabaduan	Papua New Guinea	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Tor	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Kladar	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Sabon	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Wyndham	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 20:15	Taroea Anim	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:15	Dolatanden	Indonesia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	The Palms	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Larrakeyah	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Fannie Bay	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Parap	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Darwin	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Nightcliff	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Ludmilla	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Bagot	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Leanyer	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Knuckeys Lagoon	Australia	0.2
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Berrimah	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 19:00	Birab	Indonesia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:30	Running Creek	Australia	0.2
	19 Feb 2024 23:15	Aloszville	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:30	Ok Village	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Segero	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Sisiama No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Tugara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Bamio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Dibiri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Orapoi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Oropai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Buniki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Tirere	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Bina No 1	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Maipani	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:15	Bunigi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Mairipepea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Moravamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Kamaua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Mira	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Koravaki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Mariki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Ara'ava	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:45	Kinipo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:30	Per	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:30	Amborip	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:30	Biwarlaut	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:30	Jow	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Daru	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Dorogari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Katatai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Parama	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Aibinio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Gesco	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Dameramuda	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:30	Umuda I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Auti	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Daware	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Mibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Iasa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 19:15	Waidoro	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Otsjanep	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Kadawa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 19:00	Ipisia	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Asaramio	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Tapapi	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Amagoa	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Airua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Ture Ture	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Boze	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Ume	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:00	Mirimairau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:00	Uramu I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:00	Kaivu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:45	Sui	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:45	Agobara	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:45	Samari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:45	Oromosapuo	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:15	Avioua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:15	Veraibari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Apiope	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Ravi-kevau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Marea	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Iuku	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Herekera	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Ekeirau	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Pai-a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Moinamu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Namaituri	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Goari	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Ubua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Dopima	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:30	Babai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:45	Giwaretore	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:45	Gibu	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:45	Ibou	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:45	Morigio I	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:45	Mapoi'a	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 23:45	Kapai	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	20 Feb 2024 00:00	Akoma	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 18:00	Misiki	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Longar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Baimoeh	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Gomo Gomo	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:30	Masian	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Kuria	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Mirua	Papua New Guinea	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:45	Sembelimbingan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:45	Berangas	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:45	Soengaibali	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Pono	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Kobadangar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Basada	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Kobroor	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Djamboeai	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 16:00	Barakan	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 14:00	Rabal	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 20:00	Jofar	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 21:15	Agats	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:30	Langadai	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:30	Senaking	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 15:30	Kangoerma	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Derby	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:45	Derby	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 22:00	Broome	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 22:00	Thangoo	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:00	Gladstone	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Hamelin Pool	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:15	Hamelin	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 14:30	Kedjabi	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 12:30	Nanga	Australia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Salebe	Indonesia	0.1
	19 Feb 2024 13:15	Modan	Indonesia	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.